NBA Daily Fantasy Guide 3/1

Every night the NBA content team at Fanball will aim to provide you with some valuable plays and fades.

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Thursday consists of a four game slate headlined by Philadelphia at Cleveland. I personally am looking forward to watching that game the most, but for fantasy purposes any game can be your favorite. That’s the great thing about daily fantasy sports, everyday you can have different teams and players to root for. As the most interesting fantasy player in the world once said, I don’t always play daily fantasy sports, but when I do I prefer Fanball. So stay thirsty for a win my friends, and good luck tonight.

Top Value

LeBron James – PF - $12,800

CLE vs PHI

Coming in with a price tag $2,000 above the next highest player doesn’t exactly scream value, but make no mistake LeBron is still the top overall value. While he may not quite reach his value with his giant price tag, choosing to fade him isn’t something I’d recommend. During the month of February LeBron has averaged a triple-double for the first time in his hall of fame career. He has averaged 65.75 Fanball points in his last eight games, including scores of 70.5, 71.5, and 82. LeBron has faced the 76ers twice already this year and enjoyed a great deal of success in those games, scoring an average of 30 points, 13.5 rebounds, and 9.5 assists. If his recent form holds true, expect to see a triple-double and a ton of Fanball points.

Top Fade

Julius Randle – PF - $8,000

LAL @ MIA

Look if you want to win a tournament, then you have to be willing to take calculated risks and fade players that others will use, with the hope that it results in high ownership and low Fanball points. One place I would look to do this is Julius Randle, who will be matched up against a tough pair of defenders named Hassan Whiteside and James Johnson. Randle has been heating up lately by scoring over 40 Fanball points in four straight games, but runs into the 5th ranked defense vs power forwards in fantasy points. The Heat also rank 8th in opponent points per game, and 2nd in opponent assists per game to the power forward position.

 

Top Contrarian Play

Joel Embiid – C - $10,400

PHI @ CLE

Similar to taking a calculated risk by fading a player, the same can be true for jumping on a player that others may not be. Insert Joel Embiid and you have a good candidate because of the red number 1 under his name, but have no fear because the Cleveland defense in nothing to be afraid of and a talent like Embiid will usually rise above. Joel has averaged 53.31 Fanball points over his past four games including three double-doubles, 14 assists, and 12 combined blocks and steals. Those points and assists will come in handy vs the Cavaliers, who stagger into this matchup ranking 20th in opponent points per game, and 27th in opponent field goal percentage to the center position.

 

Mid-Level Values

Josh Richardson – SF - $5,800

MIA vs LAL

Josh has two games of 40 plus and two games of 30 plus Fanball points to his credit during his past 10 games, making him a good mid-level value play. In his past 10 games if you take away his 3 games vs the 76ers, Richardson has averaged 32.78 Fanball points over seven games. The Lakers are susceptible to small forwards, giving up the 7th most Fanball points on the season, which should allow Richardson to take advantage. The Lakers seem to rank near the bottom in several categories vs small forwards including 27th in rebounds, 22nd in steals, and 29th in blocks. Look for Josh Richardson to get plenty of chances to accumulate Fanball points tonight vs Los Angeles.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope – SG - $5,400

LAL @ MIA

Kentavious or KCP for short has been amazing lately for the Lakers, averaging 40.25 Fanball points over his past four games, including two games over 45. The most important reason KCP has been able to sustain his recent success is by averaging over 33 minutes per game during his past seven and it appears the coaching staff will continue to give him plenty of playing time with the departure of Jordan Clarkson at the trade deadline. KCP has been a well-rounded player, posting double-digit points in six of his past seven games, pulling in six or more rebounds in each of his past seven games, and stealing the ball two or more times in four out of his past six games. KCP has really been settling into his role as shooting guard, putting up a combined 42 shot attempts over his past three games, including 24 three pointers.

Buddy Hield – SG - $5,100

SAC vs BKN

The Sacramento Kings are in full tanking mode, so Buddy Hield should be able to shoot the ball as much as he wants and gets a great matchup to do it in. Coming off a game in which three Cleveland shooting guards all scored 19 plus Fanball points against Brooklyn, Buddy sits in a perfect spot to put up some fantasy goodness. Hield has double-digit shot attempts in 10 out of his last 11 games and double digit points in nine of those 11. The Nets rank 24th in opponent rebounds, 23rd in opponent assists, 22nd in opponent steals, and 19th in opponent points to shooting guards during their past five games. Brooklyn also ranks as the 8th worst defense vs shooting guards during their last five games.

 

Low Level Values

J.J. Redick – SG - $4,600

PHI @ CLE

During the two previous matchups this year between the 76ers and Cavaliers, Redick posted double-digit points and averaged 36 minutes in both of those games and will look to do it again tonight. With a cheap price tag J.J. needs only 25 Fanball points to reach value and if he scores double-digit points again and adds a couple assists, rebounds, and steals he will defiantly get there. Over his last 10 games J.J. has averaged 24 Fanball points, including two games in which he eclipsed 30. Cleveland’s defense comes in with a poor ranking of 22nd vs shooting guards on the season and 25th over the past 10 games. Redick tends to get the majority of his fantasy points from scoring and a matchup vs Cleveland lands in his favor. The Cav’s have given up the 9th most points and 2nd most three pointers made to shooting guards on the season.

Nemanja Bjelica – SF - $4,400

MIN @ POR

Since Jimmy Butler went down with a knee injury, Bjelica has stepped into the Wolves starting five and should continue to receive a heavy dose of minutes for the foreseeable future. Until his price tag catches up with him, you should continue to give a look at Bjelica as long as he produces. Bjelica played 32 plus minutes in his last two games and averaged 10 points, seven rebounds, and 3.5 assists. To borrow a football term, he has a nose for the ball, piling up four steals vs the Kings and posting 33.25 Fanball points in his most recent game. Bjelica is a well-rounded player and should be able to find a way to reach value vs Portland tonight.

Kyle Korver – SG - $3,100

CLE vs PHI

If you’re trying go with what’s known as a punt play by going super cheap, then take a look at Kyle Korver. With a price point of $3,100 he would only need 17 Fanball points to payoff. Korver is coming off of back to back games in which he posted 17 plus Fanball points and 25 minutes in each. Kyle slots into the Cavalier’s lineup as a three point specialist and he’s put up six or more attempts in three out of his last four games. The 76ers have allowed the 6th most three pointers made by shooting guards over their past five games, along with the 8th most points and opponent field goal percentage. While there’s lots of offensive talent to go around in Cleveland, Korver will still get some scoring chances and there’s always the possibly of a shooter getting hot with a cheap price tag and  reaching 10 times his value, which he did most recently vs Atlanta by posting 37.75 Fanball points.

 

 




Evan Bletz is a freelance contributor for SportsHub Technologies, Fanball’s parent company. Any advice or strategies provided by Evan or other SportsHub contributors represent their personal opinions; they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of SportsHub Technologies and are not necessarily reflective of the strategies they may employ in their own lineups.