Every night the NBA content team at Fanball will aim to provide you with some valuable plays and fades.
And remember, unlike some of the other guys, Fanball allows Late Swaps, so you won’t be stuck when someone is out at the last minute. As always, thanks for reading, and good luck out there.
Top Tier Value
James Harden - SG - $12,600
HOU @ OKC
We’ve got three of the league's most prolific fantasy scorers in action tonight, and yet the decision to roster James Harden over Anthony Davis and Russell Westbrook was fairly easy for me. The Thunder are reeling defensively and it cannot be overstated how dramatically the loss of Andre Roberson has impacted OKC. The Thunder ranked in the top ten in opponent field goal percentage with Roberson in the lineup in January, but dropped all the way to 25th in February after losing him to a ruptured patellar tendon. Oklahoma City ranks 27th in Fanball points allowed to shooting guards over the last ten games, giving up an average of 59 per game, and rank 22nd or worse in both rebounds and assists allowed to the position. The MVP award is Harden’s to lose at this point, but I expect him to put on a show tonight against the league’s reigning MVP, as he tries to make yet another statement in a nationally televised game. Harden dropped 68 Fanball points on the Thunder back in December, and is primed for another monster performance.
Bradley Beal - SG - $9,400
WSH @ MIA
Bradley Beal has struggled to hit his value since moving about the 9K mark, but despite finding himself in the “sell high” section of this week’s trendspotting article I think he’s one of the better options available tonight. Miami ranks 23rd in Fanball points allowed to shooting guards, giving up over 46 per game and have struggled to contain the position all season. In Beal’s two previous matchups with Miami this season he scored 40 and 48 Fanball points, slightly below the 51 FB points he’ll need to hit his value, but not far off, especially when you consider John Wall was in the lineup for both of those games.
Top Tier Fade
Ben Simmons - PG - $9,900
PHI @ CHA
Ben Simmons has achieved his value just twice in his last ten games, and the Hornets held him well short last Friday, giving up just 36 Fanball points to the highly touted rookie. Charlotte is one of only 11 teams holding opposing point guards to fewer than 40 Fanball points per game this season and over the last three games have kept the trio of Simmons, Kyrie Irving, and Kyle Lowry from hitting their value.
Mid Tier Values
Enes Kanter - C - $7,700
NY @ POR
The Knicks are racking up losses left and right, but as long as Enes Kanter keeps putting up numbers, what do we care? Kanter has scored 41 or more FB points in four of his last five games, has eight double-doubles in his last ten games, with his only two duds during that span coming against Boston, arguably the best defensive team in the league, and Golden State, who he simply can’t stay on the court against. Portland has been better than expected on the defensive end this season...at least from a fantasy perspective, but have been vulnerable in the middle, allowing the tenth most Fanball points to opposing centers (38). Things aren’t trending in the right direction for the Trail Blazers in that department either, allowing 45 FB points per game to the position over the last ten games.
Dennis Smith Jr. - PG - $6,500
DAL vs DEN
Two of the worst teams at defending the point guard position will be going head-to-head tonight, but I favor Dennis Smith Jr. by a long shot. Smith has gotten back on track after slow start out of the All Star Break, scoring 30 or more Fanball points in three consecutive games. Over those three games, Dennis Smith Jr is not only leading the Mavericks with a 30% usage rating, but that also puts him in the top 20 in the entire league in usage over that stretch. I know that’s a small sample size, but considering the Mavericks aspirations at this point in the season are to improve their draft position and get playing time for their young guys, there is little reason to believe Smith won’t continue to dominate the basketball in Dallas. Smith has averaged 32 Fanball points in three matchups against the Nuggets this season, slightly below the 35 he’ll need to hit his value, but well within reach.
Austin Rivers - SG - $5,700
L.A.C vs N.O.
Whether you classify Austin Rivers as a shooting guard (as we here at Fanball do) or a point guard (where he has been playing in lieu of injuries) he has an absolutely fantastic matchup tonight. The Pelicans rank 30th in Fanball points allowed to point guards and 29th in Fanball points allowed to shooting guards, so regardless of where Rivers slots in, he should be in for a strong performance. The last five starting point guards to face the Pelicans have all scored at least 36 Fanball points, and the average among them was a whopping 43 FB points.
Low Tier Values
Kyle O’Quinn - PF - $4,800
N.Y. @ Portland
Kyle O’Quinn is no doubt the riskiest of the players in this article today, but if you’re feeling daring, he could be a difference maker in tournament play. O’Quinn has been going through a bizarre stretch that I have dubbed “14 or nothing streak.” Catchy, I know. Over his last six games Kyle O’Quinn has scored exactly 14 points three times, and he has also finished with four or fewer points three times. However in those three games in which he scored 14 points O’Quinn has gone for 40, 31, and 24 Fanball points, a very nice value at his price.
JJ Reddick - SG - $4,600
PHI @ CHA
Reddick is by no means a sexy pick, but he is incredibly consistent, hitting 5.5x his value in seven of his last ten games. He’s better deployed in 50/50s or double-ups, as his ceiling only extends to about 30 Fanball points, but if you’re looking for a cheap, safe option, you could do a lot worse.
Aaron Whitlock (@AaronJWhitlock) is an employee of SportsHub Technologies, Fanball’s parent company. As such, he is ineligible to compete in public Fanball contests though he may play in private, Fanball-sponsored contests similar to those contests he offers advice on. Any advice or strategies provided by Aaron or other SportsHub employees represent their personal opinions; they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of SportsHub Technologies and are not necessarily reflective of the strategies they may employ in their own lineups.