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Fanball MLB Triple Play – June 27, 2019

Did you know that on even a ten game MLB slate, there are approximately 250 TRILLION lineup combinations you can make? To be able to hit on the 1 lineup out of those combinations is harder than winning the lottery. A reduced player pool, though, can give you a significant advantage by reducing the possible lineup combinations you can make. If we limit our choices to only 5 players per position (a few extra for OF), you now have far fewer possible lineup combinations you can make (pricing helps reduce this number even lower). Sure, it’s still a lot of lineup choices (in the millions) but it’s only .000008% of the total possible lineup combinations everyone else is working with. That is a SIGNIFICANT advantage for you if you’re choosing from a strong reduced player pool. That’s where we come in to help.

    Bankster DFS, The Home of the Reduced Player Pool, has teamed up with Fanball to give you a daily sneak peak of three of the plays we have included in our Bankster DFS reduced player pool. We aren’t lineup sellers; we write full articles that explain which players we like, why we like those players, and how we like to build our teams. We are a learning site more than anything, and you can see that in heavy member interaction on our various Slack Chat channels (we have one for every sport that we cover – NBA, CFL, NFL, NHL, MLB, EPL, PGA, MMA, CBB, WWE, sports betting, and Best Ball 10’s). You can get the rest of our reduced player pool, our daily articles, our members only slack chat, and Fanball exclusives with a Bankster DFS membership. That membership costs only $2.99/wk and you get everything mentioned above with it. You can contact me about membership on Twitter @bankster17 or sign up for service here.

Let’s look at the MLB Triple Play for Thursday, June 27

On The Hill (Starting Pitcher): Zack Wheeler (NYM/RHP) at Philadelphia Phillies

    Zack Wheeler is too expensive, he’s going to a great hitting environment, and he’s going up against Aaron Nola. All of these reasons are going to keep his ownership low. Despite JT Realmuto and Cesar Hernandez faring well against him, Wheeler has managed to dominate the Phillies in two starts this year (14IP/16K/3ER). Even when Wheeler was pitching poorly he was still striking batters out, and he’s got a 5:1 K to BB ratio against RHB this year. Philly is probably only going to throw a couple of lefties into their lineup (Bruce/Harper), and they are a combined 5 for 34 against Wheeler in their careers. You have to take some shots on a six game slate, and going against the grain by using the opposing pitcher to the day’s chalk pitcher (Nola) is a great way to do that. Remember, ER don’t have a negative value associated with them on Fanball so we are only looking for IP and K, and Wheeler has gone 6 IP or more in nine of ten starts and has 6+ K’s in eight of ten starts. He’s actually a lot safer than you realize. 

Starting Nine (Stack of the Day): Minnesota Twins (vs Jalen Beeks – TB/LHP)

    Jalen Beeks is a lefty that’s reverse splitsy, giving up a .283 AVG to LHB as opposed to a .241 AVG to RHB. Sadly, there aren’t many Twins lefties who can take advantage of that. Max Kepler is a guy to take a shot on for his power upside and Eddie Rosario for his consistency, but that’s about it for lefties that I’d consider. Let’s look at who really crushes LHP on the Twins, courtesy of MLB.com:

I’m going to ignore the reverse splits a little bit and look to CJ Cron, Nelson Cruz, Mitch Garver, and Luis Arraez for a stack. Arraez is still so cheap and he’s been locked in (.436 AVG in 39 AB this year). Depending on how the lineup shakes out we can look to someone like Miguel Sano or Jake Cave as well if they are batting in the top six spots of the order. Notably absent is Jorge Polanco, he just doesn’t generate enough power against LHP (.386 SLG) for me to consider him at $6.9k. 

Pinch Hitter (HuLo play): JP Crawford (SEA/SS) at Chase Anderson

    JP Crawford is too hot to ignore right now (.333 AVG  with 10 RBI over his last ten games heading into last night, and then he went 3 for 5 with 3 more RBI on Wednesday). He has 16+ Fanball points in six of his last seven games, and although Chase Anderson is a heavy reverse splits pitcher (.327 AVG to RHB; .168 AVG to LHB) I think we should still heaving consider Crawford given his low $4800 price point and awesome hitting environment in Miller Park.

Riding the Pine (Fade of the Day): Aaron Nola (PHI/RHP) vs New York Mets
    I’m not chasing the chalk on a six game slate where there are almost no other “good” pitchers. Nola gets hit pretty hard by LHB with a .286 BAA, opening the door for an opportunity to shoot for a double whammy by stacking guys like Michael Conforto, Dominic Smith, Jeff McNeil, and Robinson Cano. Nola has exceeded 30 FB points in only half of his last ten starts; not a consistent enough effort for a player priced at $11.5k (the highest on the slate). I’d much rather hit the other side of this game and get a more consistent Zack Wheeler as a far lower ownership. 

Don’t forget that you can access the rest of our Reduced Player Pool as a Bankster DFS member. $2.99 per week gets you access to all the content we produce for all the sports we cover, our members only Slack Chat, and exclusive Fanball bonuses. Contact me @bankster17 or you can sign up for a membership here. Thank you for checking out our Fanball MLB Triple Play. You can find us here every day throughout the MLB season.

Fanball MLB Triple Play – June 24, 2019

Did you know that on even a ten game MLB slate, there are approximately 250 TRILLION lineup combinations you can make? To be able to hit on the 1 lineup out of those combinations is harder than winning the lottery. A reduced player pool, though, can give you a significant advantage by reducing the possible lineup combinations you can make. If we limit our choices to only 5 players per position (a few extra for OF), you now have far fewer possible lineup combinations you can make (pricing helps reduce this number even lower). Sure, it’s still a lot of lineup choices (in the millions) but it’s only .000008% of the total possible lineup combinations everyone else is working with. That is a SIGNIFICANT advantage for you if you’re choosing from a strong reduced player pool. That’s where we come in to help.

    Bankster DFS, The Home of the Reduced Player Pool, has teamed up with Fanball to give you a daily sneak peak of three of the plays we have included in our Bankster DFS reduced player pool. We aren’t lineup sellers; we write full articles that explain which players we like, why we like those players, and how we like to build our teams. We are a learning site more than anything, and you can see that in heavy member interaction on our various Slack Chat channels (we have one for every sport that we cover – NBA, AAF, NFL, NHL, MLB, EPL, PGA, MMA, CBB, WWE, sports betting, and Best Ball 10’s). You can get the rest of our reduced player pool, our daily articles, our members only slack chat, and Fanball exclusives with a Bankster DFS membership. That membership costs only $2.99/wk and you get everything mentioned above with it. You can contact me about membership on Twitter @bankster17 or sign up for service here.

Let’s look at the MLB Triple Play for Monday, June 24

On The Hill (Starting Pitcher): Jon Gray (COL/RHP) at San Francisco Giants

    The top end pitching options really don’t do it for me today. Lucas Giolito is amazing but he’s going into Boston to face a Red Sox team that just doesn’t strike out all that much against RHP (just 23% K-rate). Meanwhile, I question the upside of Clayton Kershaw since he’s yet to surpass 8 strikeouts in any game this year and is going into Arizona to face a D’backs team that has the best SLG and 2nd best AVG against LHP this year. I’d use him in cash because of his consistency, but I won’t love it. That leaves me to move down a little further to Jon Gray. He’s heading into SF to face the Giants; a really bad offense that he’s done well against in the past. San Francisco doesn’t strike out a ton, but with a discount on Gray of over $1000 compared to the top pitchers I can live with that. As I said, it’s not like Giolito and Kershaw have otherworldly matchups. The biggest appeal with Gray is his strikeout rate; he’s had 7+ K’s in seven of his last nine starts so it’s reasonable to think that he may be able to get a few more strikeouts than the Giants are used to giving us. Remember that on Fanball innings and strikeouts are what drives our pitching point totals; Gray should be able to give us both. Six of his last nine starts have resulted in 29+ Fanball points; a strong number for a pitcher at his price point of $10500. AT&T Park is VERY pitcher friendly, so we have that going for us over Giolito (at Fenway) and Kershaw (at Chase Field); both of whom are pitching at hitter-friendly ballparks.

Starting Nine (Stack of the Day): Kansas City Royals (at Adam Plutko- CLE/RHP)

    Really? The Royals?? Have I lost my mind? Nope! Kansas City is in a great spot today and I’m starting my GPP’s with them. Adam Plutko has been pretty good for the Indians this year but he has a weakness, and that weakness is right-handed bats. He’s giving up a .293 BAA against RHB this year and KC is full of righties who can take advantage of that. Let’s take a look at how the Royals do against RHP (courtesty of MLB.com):

Hey look at that, the top three guys on KC against RHP happen to be right-handed bats! Hunter Dozier (3 for 11 with 1 HR and 5 RBI since his return three games ago) and Whit Merrifield (.349 AVG with 5 XBH and 8 RBI over his last ten games) are on fire at the moment, while Jorge Soler (4 HR his last ten games) is an all or nothing big bat who has legitimate double dong potential. Alex Gordon is a fine play as part of a Royals stack, but I’d almost rather spend all the way down and use Martin Maldonado as a punt catcher instead. He’s been serviceable, with points in six of his last eight games. That’s more than ok from a punt position since all you’re looking for is a non-zero score. Cheslor Cuthbert (a righty) and Nicky Lopez (a lefty) are both hitting well and are in play if they are in the starting lineup today.

Pinch Hitter (HuLo play): Christian Walker (ARI/1B) vs Clayton Kershaw (LAD/LHP)

Arizona has struggled the last couple of weeks, but Walker is starting to heat up on his own. He has four games of 11+ FB points in his last five and will only cost you $4600 to lock down your 1B or UTIL positions. On top of that, he has 2 hits in 5 AB against Clayton Kershaw this year and both of those hits are HR. I like those odds and have no problem throwing him into a GPP today.

Riding the Pine (Fade of the Day): Clayton Kershaw (LAD/LHP) at Arizona Diamondbacks
    Like clockwork we are going to make this play every fifth day. Why would you use Clayton Kershaw as the most expensive pitcher on this slate? He’s a consistent player but he lacks upside. Yes, I know he’s been in that 27-32 FB point range for a while now, but he really hasn’t gone too far beyond that either. If I’m paying top dollar for a pitcher, I want them to have 40+ FB point upside, and Kershaw just doesn’t. Today he’s got a matchup against a struggling D’backs team, but it’s a D’backs team that crushes LHP. They have the highest SLG vs LHP in all of baseball, and the second higher AVG. I get that pitching is pretty weak today, but I just don’t see the point in paying $11800 for the relative safety of Kershaw when you can spend $10500 for Jon Gray to get a similar start (especially on a night where you’re going to want to save money for bats; so many bats).
Don’t forget that you can access the rest of our Reduced Player Pool as a Bankster DFS member. $2.99 per week gets you access to all the content we produce for all the sports we cover, our members only Slack Chat, and exclusive Fanball bonuses. Contact me @bankster17 or you can sign up for a membership here. Thank you for checking out our Fanball MLB Triple Play. You can find us here every day throughout the MLB season.