Fanball MLB Triple Play – June 10, 2019
Did you know that on even a ten game MLB slate, there are approximately 250 TRILLION lineup combinations you can make? To be able to hit on the 1 lineup out of those combinations is harder than winning the lottery. A reduced player pool, though, can give you a significant advantage by reducing the possible lineup combinations you can make. If we limit our choices to only 5 players per position (a few extra for OF), you now have far fewer possible lineup combinations you can make (pricing helps reduce this number even lower). Sure, it’s still a lot of lineup choices (in the millions) but it’s only .000008% of the total possible lineup combinations everyone else is working with. That is a SIGNIFICANT advantage for you if you’re choosing from a strong reduced player pool. That’s where we come in to help.
Bankster DFS, The Home of the Reduced Player Pool, has teamed up with Fanball to give you a daily sneak peak of three of the plays we have included in our Bankster DFS reduced player pool. We aren’t lineup sellers; we write full articles that explain which players we like, why we like those players, and how we like to build our teams. We are a learning site more than anything, and you can see that in heavy member interaction on our various Slack Chat channels (we have one for every sport that we cover – NBA, AAF, NFL, NHL, MLB, EPL, PGA, MMA, CBB, WWE, sports betting, and Best Ball 10’s). You can get the rest of our reduced player pool, our daily articles, our members only slack chat, and Fanball exclusives with a Bankster DFS membership. That membership costs only $2.99/wk and you get everything mentioned above with it. You can contact me about membership on Twitter @bankster17 or sign up for service here.
Let’s look at the MLB Triple Play for Monday, June 10
On The Hill (Starting Pitcher): Chris Sale (BOS/LHP) vs Texas Rangers
Hey, look who’s back to being Chris Sale again! We knew it was coming, and now the transformation back a front line, elite pitcher is complete for Sale. He’s been utterly dominant recently with 10+ strikeouts in seven of his last ten games with a 2.80 ERA over that time. How quickly things can change with a high strikeout pitcher who has found his rhythm. He has a great matchup at home today against a Texas Rangers team that has struggled against Sale in the past. As a team they have a .176 AVG and 35% K-rate against Sale in 159 AB. In 2019 the team has a 30% K-rate against all lefties, so the struggle is real and should be exploited tonight. One interesting note about Sale is that he’s been a reverse splits pitcher this year with a .266 BAA vs LHB and a .193 BAA vs RHB. Managers are stupid though so I expect we will see a very righty-heavy lineup tonight for the Rangers in Boston. Joey Gallo has never faced Sale in his career, and even if he wasn’t in the injured list I bet we wouldn’t see him in this game anyway. Nomar Mazara, Ronald Guzman, and Rougned Odor only have a combined 14 AB in their careers against Sale (1 hit, 8 K) and I bet at least one of them doesn’t make today’s lineup either (and if they do that’s actually a bonus for us because they are awful against Sale). Logan Forsythe will probably play; he’s 1 for 11 with 5 K vs Sale. Shin-Soo Choo will probably play; he’s 2 for 26 with 12 K vs Sale. Hunter Pence? 2 for 7 with 4 K. Elvis Andrus? 4 for 28 with 7 K. Oooh, how about Danny Santana? 3 for 19 with 6 K. You get the idea…Sale should be really, really good today.
Starting Nine (Stack of the Day): Tampa Bay Rays (vs Tanner Anderson – OAK/RHP)
Tanner Anderson will be making his first big league start today against the Rays and that can go one of two ways. We saw last week that Paul Lambert went out and held the Cubs in check, while this weekend Joe Palumbo got knocked around by the A’s. I’m inclined to think that the Rays will do well today as they are a strong offense who hit everyone really well. Let’s take a look at how they do against RHP this year (courtesy of MLB.com):
Look at that, just about everyone in the lineup kills RHP this year. Austin Meadows is ridiculously underpriced on Fanball at only $5k and is the best hitter on the team. Brandon Lowe hit two bombs on Sunday and although he is overpriced at $7k, he is warming up and his cost being too high balances out with the rest of this stack costing too little. Avisail Garcia, formerly a lefty-killer, has turned into a reverse splits monster and is only $4900 today (also very underpriced). Ji-Man Choi, Willy Adames, and Travis D’Arnaud are all super cheap and each can be a great play if you wanted to get sneaky with a TB stack and fade some of the ownership. Kevin Kiermaier is super hit or miss, but at only $4.6k his hits can really pay off. I will most likely wait to see who is in the lineup and where they are batting before I commit to any Rays, but I will be playing a Rays stack in GPP and have some exposure to them in cash games as well (probably Lowe/Garcia if I can find value elsewhere).
Pinch Hitter (HuLo play): Eduardo Escobar (ARI/3B) at Jerad Eickhoff (PHI/RHP)
Holy wow has Eickhoff been bad lately. This kid has a really high strikeout upside but he’s been missing the mark over his last handful of starts. He has given up 3+ ER in each of his last five starts (and he was at the 3 ER number only once, every other start was more than that). Worse off, he’s given up 2+ HR in four of those five starts (a total of 11 HR in 24.1 IP). 34% of the the fly balls he’s given up over those 24.1 IP have resulted in a HR. That’s really bad against as D’backs team that crushes on the road. They average 5.7 runs per game on the road with a .467 SLG (second only to MIN). The D’backs just went into Toronto and hammered the Blue Jays; Philly is an even better hitting environment and Eickhoff is a great pitcher to attack. Escobar has a .291 AVG and .519 SLG against RHP and is only $4800 on Fanball today. He has 13+ Fanball points in three straight games and should be in a good spot to put up numbers again today at a great value price point.
Riding the Pine (Fade of the Day): Joe Musgrove (PIT/RHP) at Atlanta Braves
We really like Joe Musgrove in this matchup at Bankster DFS. He just shut down the Braves last week with 8IP/6K/3ER (two of those ER came in the 8th inning when he shouldn’t have even been pitching). So why would we fade Musgrove on Fanball if we like him? First of all, Musgrove isn’t a high strikeout pitcher and we need that from our Fanball starter. Second of all, this game is in ATL and we expect the Braves to be slightly more competitive. Third of all, and this is very important, even if Musgrove pitches the best he can (and we can say that his last start vs ATL was exactly that), I still wouldn’t play him over Charlie Morton. Charlie Morton is $200 CHEAPER than Musgrove today. We are all about value at Bankster DFS and Musgrove, at $11100, gives us ZERO value. I’ll take Charlie Morton (and Mike Minor) in worse matchups at the same price; so to get them even cheaper is a no-brainer for me.
Don’t forget that you can access the rest of our Reduced Player Pool as a Bankster DFS member. $2.99 per week gets you access to all the content we produce for all the sports we cover, our members only Slack Chat, and exclusive Fanball bonuses. Contact me @bankster17 or you can sign up for a membership here. Thank you for checking our our Fanball MLB Triple Play. You can find us here every day throughout the MLB season.