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Fanball MLB Triple Play – June 13, 2019

by • June 13, 2019

Did you know that on even a ten game MLB slate, there are approximately 250 TRILLION lineup combinations you can make? To be able to hit on the 1 lineup out of those combinations is harder than winning the lottery. A reduced player pool, though, can give you a significant advantage by reducing the possible lineup combinations you can make. If we limit our choices to only 5 players per position (a few extra for OF), you now have far fewer possible lineup combinations you can make (pricing helps reduce this number even lower). Sure, it’s still a lot of lineup choices (in the millions) but it’s only .000008% of the total possible lineup combinations everyone else is working with. That is a SIGNIFICANT advantage for you if you’re choosing from a strong reduced player pool. That’s where we come in to help.

    Bankster DFS, The Home of the Reduced Player Pool, has teamed up with Fanball to give you a daily sneak peak of three of the plays we have included in our Bankster DFS reduced player pool. We aren’t lineup sellers; we write full articles that explain which players we like, why we like those players, and how we like to build our teams. We are a learning site more than anything, and you can see that in heavy member interaction on our various Slack Chat channels (we have one for every sport that we cover – NBA, AAF, NFL, NHL, MLB, EPL, PGA, MMA, CBB, WWE, sports betting, and Best Ball 10’s). You can get the rest of our reduced player pool, our daily articles, our members only slack chat, and Fanball exclusives with a Bankster DFS membership. That membership costs only $2.99/wk and you get everything mentioned above with it. You can contact me about membership on Twitter @bankster17 or sign up for service here.

Let’s look at the MLB Triple Play for Thursday, June 13

On The Hill (Starting Pitcher): Matthew Boyd (DET/LHP) at Kansas City Royals

    It was really hard for me to narrow down my top choice for a high-priced pitcher (and we can realistically only afford one if we want some top bats) but in the end I settled on Boyd for a couple of reasons. The first reason is that he’s going to have a good game. Boyd has been a machine with nine games of 25+ FB points over his last ten starts Kansas City is a great matchup for Boyd as well. They are averaging 2.6 runs per game over the last week with a 30% K-rate. Boyd has handled KC once already this year; 7IP/9K/2ER. Boyd has 7+ K in five straight starts, as well. The thing that really separates Boyd from DeGrom for me today (and DeGrom is miles ahead of Kershaw in my mind, which is why I’m not even discussing the Dodgers ace) is that Boyd is far less expensive than DeGrom (and four other pitchers) and he shouldn’t be. I truly believe that Boyd could be the highest scoring pitcher today and to get him for $700 less than the other top pitcher (DeGrom) is a steal. The best part is that I don’t think Boyd will carry any ownership with people flocking to the big names of Kershaw and DeGrom. Quite simply. Boyd is better positioned to give you a higher ROI than either of those other guys.

Starting Nine (Stack of the Day): Los Angeles Angels (at Ryan Yarbrough- TB/LHP)

    The Angels hit LHP really well and you can stack them pretty reasonably on this slate. Obviously you want to try to get Mike Trout in your lineup, but doing that will probably kill any chance you have of coming up with any players from Coors (which isn’t awful in a GPP, but could be a problem in cash). If Trout is a struggle for you, a consolation prize of a Cesar Puello/Albert Pujols mini-stack isn’t something I’d be too upset by. Look at what LAA has done against lefties in 2019 (courtesy of MLB.com):

Obviously Puello just came up to the majors a couple of weeks ago but he’s been an absolute stud, especially against RHP (and he’s only $3200). Pujols has found his stroke and is no longer a guy you are using strictly as a punt (but he’s priced like on at only $4400). Kevan Smith is back from the concussion protocol and he’s looked good in his two games back (3 for 8 with 2 RBI and 2 runs scored). As you can see, he has been a beast in his limited AB against LHP this season. The two names that really intrigue me in a GPP are Tommy LaStella and Kole Calhoun. Despite both being LHB, they have combined for 10 HR this year against lefties. They are strictly GPP plays, but they will also carry 0% ownership against Yarbrough. If I’m stacking Angels and spending down a bit on pitching, they will definitely be in my lineups.

Pinch Hitter (HuLo play): Josh Naylor (SD/1B) at Jon Gray (COL/RHP)

    It’s going to be important to have exposure to Coors today as both teams have good matchups. It’s also going to be really expensive to have exposure to Coors today because, you know, it’s Coors. While I’m using some Angels like Puello and Pujols to help me save money to spend up on Rockies bats, there’s also the option to use a $4700 Josh Naylor to both save money AND get Coors exposure. Is Naylor the best player you can get from San Diego? No he’s not, but he is the best value player you can get from that game and has the platoon splits in his favor against Jon Gray. Naylor has 5 XBH in 45 AB against RHP (.444 SLG), while Gray has struggled to maintain control against lefty bats (20 BB against 34 K; a pretty bad 1.7:1 K to BB ratio). If he gets a little wild, Naylor should be able to get on base. Naylor hasn’t been scoring hot or anything, but he has hit double digit FB points in 44% of his last nine games so this isn’t just your run of the mill punt for exposure; there is upside here.

Riding the Pine (Fade of the Day): Clayton Kershaw (LAD/LHP) vs Chicago Cubs
    Kershaw is on the hill? Full fade mode in effect, as always Lather, rinse, repeat. I cannot use Kershaw in good conscience when he is the highest priced pitcher on a slate that includes Jacob DeGrom ($100 cheaper) and Matthew Boyd ($800 cheaper). Kershaw isn’t even a strikeout per inning pitcher anymore; the upside is totally gone with him. He has exceeded 30 FB points just four times over his last ten starts. For comparison’s sake, DeGrom has done this five times in his last seven starts and Boyd has done it five times in his last nine starts. On top of that, Kershaw has the hardest matchup of all three of the top pitchers on this slate (vs the Cubs, as opposed to vs STL for DeGrom or at KC for Boyd), yet I’m supposed to pay $12k for him? No, no I’m not. #teamfadekershaw rides again!
Don’t forget that you can access the rest of our Reduced Player Pool as a Bankster DFS member. $2.99 per week gets you access to all the content we produce for all the sports we cover, our members only Slack Chat, and exclusive Fanball bonuses. Contact me @bankster17 or you can sign up for a membership here. Thank you for checking our our Fanball MLB Triple Play. You can find us here every day throughout the MLB season.