Fanball MLB Triple Play – June 14, 2019
Did you know that on even a ten game MLB slate, there are approximately 250 TRILLION lineup combinations you can make? To be able to hit on the 1 lineup out of those combinations is harder than winning the lottery. A reduced player pool, though, can give you a significant advantage by reducing the possible lineup combinations you can make. If we limit our choices to only 5 players per position (a few extra for OF), you now have far fewer possible lineup combinations you can make (pricing helps reduce this number even lower). Sure, it’s still a lot of lineup choices (in the millions) but it’s only .000008% of the total possible lineup combinations everyone else is working with. That is a SIGNIFICANT advantage for you if you’re choosing from a strong reduced player pool. That’s where we come in to help.
Bankster DFS, The Home of the Reduced Player Pool, has teamed up with Fanball to give you a daily sneak peak of three of the plays we have included in our Bankster DFS reduced player pool. We aren’t lineup sellers; we write full articles that explain which players we like, why we like those players, and how we like to build our teams. We are a learning site more than anything, and you can see that in heavy member interaction on our various Slack Chat channels (we have one for every sport that we cover – NBA, AAF, NFL, NHL, MLB, EPL, PGA, MMA, CBB, WWE, sports betting, and Best Ball 10’s). You can get the rest of our reduced player pool, our daily articles, our members only slack chat, and Fanball exclusives with a Bankster DFS membership. That membership costs only $2.99/wk and you get everything mentioned above with it. You can contact me about membership on Twitter @bankster17 or sign up for service here.
Let’s look at the MLB Triple Play for Friday, June 14
On The Hill (Starting Pitcher): Gerrit Cole (HOU/RHP) vs Toronto Blue Jays
There are a number of pitchers I like on this slate that are priced in the mid to lower tiers (Heaney, Richards, Pivetta, ERod, Ponce De Leon), but when push comes to shove I think you go one of two ways today; spend all the way down (Adam Plutko) or spend all the way up (Cole or Scherzer). With this being a 15 game slate, and with value bats all around us, there is no reason at all to fade Gerrit Cole at $12.0k if you think he’s the best pitcher on the board (he is). While I love Scherzer, I think the matchup for Cole against the Blue Jays in a pitcher-friend Minute Maid Park is better than Mad Max’s assignment against a hot-hitting D’backs squad. Cole is a little more volatile, but his upside is off the charts and the Blue Jays have done nothing this year to show that they can get to him outside of their recent stretch of good games against the worst pitching staff in all of baseball (and even with those games they only have averaged 4.3 runs/game with a 26% K-rate this week; average at best). For the season the Blue Jays have a .218 AVG (last) and .383 SLG (27th) with a 27% K-rate against RHP this season. Cole has a ridiculous 13.8 K/9 and .205 BAA this year (.216 to LHP and .196 to RHB; both elite numbers). He has a pretty high HR to fly ball rate over his last ten games at 27%, but TOR’s lack of power doesn’t worry me all that much given how well Minute Maid Park plays to pitching. Even if you wanted to stack a team like Colorado today, and I’m not totally sure that’s where I want to go, but if you did you could get Cole with Blackmon, Murphy, Dahl, and Wolters and still have over $4400 per player left to spend. Like I said, there’s no reason to fade Cole today if you like him as much as I do.
Starting Nine (Stack of the Day): Cleveland Indians (vs Ryan Carpenter- DET/LHP)
I wasn’t totally sold on an Indians stack today until I took a deeper dive into Ryan Carpenter’s stats for this year. Did you know that although he has a terrible .302 BAA against RHB, that he’s technically a reverse splits pitchers? Yep, the dude has allowed a .345 AVG to LHB this year (admittedly, in far fewer AB). Also, he has a 10.32 ERA and 3.2 HR/9 at home and this game happens to take place at his home ballpark; Comerica Park in DET. Any way you slice it, Carpenter has been awful this year. Maybe Cleveland isn’t the best team on this slate, but you don’t need me to tell you to play the Rockies at Coors Field. What Cleveland is, though, is a team that you can stack WITH the Rockies to still allow you spend all the way up on pitching as well. The Indians have a few pieces you can plug cheaply into your lineup (and a few expensive pieces) who absolutely crush LHP. Let’s take a look at who they are (courtesy of MLB.com):
I’m not sure how much I can trust Jose Ramirez, even in a good matchup, but look at what Jordan Luplow ($3.6k) and Roberto Perez ($4.3k) have done against LHP this year. That you can get them both for a combined $7.9k (cheaper than Yeich or Trout by themselves) is incredible. If I decide to stack Indians I’ll probably splurge on Lindor ($7.2k), but you don’t HAVE to do that with guys like Fernando Tatis ($5.4k) and Elvis Andrus ($5.3k) offering better value. Either way, this is a team I want some exposure to today at their price points in a great matchup.
Pinch Hitter (HuLo play): Hanser Alberto (BAL/2B) vs Eduardo Rodriguez (BOS/LHP)
One of the best little secrets in all of baseball is Hanser Alberto’s success against LHP so far this year. He’s had 80 AB against lefties, a not insignificant number, and has absolutely crushed it with a .425 AVG, .550 SLG, and 2 SB. Now, is Alberto going to get you 40 points and lead you to a GPP victory? No, no he’s not. What Alberto is going to do is get you a good shot at double digit FB points and solidify your SS position for a reasonable $5.0k price point.
Riding the Pine (Fade of the Day): Blake Snell (TB/LHP) vs Los Angeles Angels
Snell is a really good pitcher, and he could have a really good start, but why in the world would you pay $11.8k for him today when you could move up a slight $200 and use Gerrit Cole or Max Scherzer instead? Snell on his best day has nowhere near the upside of either Cole or Mad Max on their best days. I also am not enamored with the matchup for Snell today as the Angels are a team that hits LHP pretty well. As a matter of fact, I’d be more inclined to use Angels bats as a HuLo stack (Pujols at $4.4k, Puello at $3.2k, and Ohtani at $5.8k are bargains) rather than pitch against them.
Don’t forget that you can access the rest of our Reduced Player Pool as a Bankster DFS member. $2.99 per week gets you access to all the content we produce for all the sports we cover, our members only Slack Chat, and exclusive Fanball bonuses. Contact me @bankster17 or you can sign up for a membership here. Thank you for checking our our Fanball MLB Triple Play. You can find us here every day throughout the MLB season.