Fanball MLB Triple Play – June 17, 2019
Did you know that on even a ten game MLB slate, there are approximately 250 TRILLION lineup combinations you can make? To be able to hit on the 1 lineup out of those combinations is harder than winning the lottery. A reduced player pool, though, can give you a significant advantage by reducing the possible lineup combinations you can make. If we limit our choices to only 5 players per position (a few extra for OF), you now have far fewer possible lineup combinations you can make (pricing helps reduce this number even lower). Sure, it’s still a lot of lineup choices (in the millions) but it’s only .000008% of the total possible lineup combinations everyone else is working with. That is a SIGNIFICANT advantage for you if you’re choosing from a strong reduced player pool. That’s where we come in to help.
Bankster DFS, The Home of the Reduced Player Pool, has teamed up with Fanball to give you a daily sneak peak of three of the plays we have included in our Bankster DFS reduced player pool. We aren’t lineup sellers; we write full articles that explain which players we like, why we like those players, and how we like to build our teams. We are a learning site more than anything, and you can see that in heavy member interaction on our various Slack Chat channels (we have one for every sport that we cover – NBA, AAF, NFL, NHL, MLB, EPL, PGA, MMA, CBB, WWE, sports betting, and Best Ball 10’s). You can get the rest of our reduced player pool, our daily articles, our members only slack chat, and Fanball exclusives with a Bankster DFS membership. That membership costs only $2.99/wk and you get everything mentioned above with it. You can contact me about membership on Twitter @bankster17 or sign up for service here.
Let’s look at the MLB Triple Play for Monday, June 17
On The Hill (Starting Pitcher): Lance Lynn (TEX/RHP) vs Cleveland Indians
It’s really hard to trust him simply because we know he’s Lance Lynn, but good gracious has Lance Lynn been outstanding recently. Over his last five starts he has averaged just a hair under 9 strikeouts per game in just over 6 innings pitched per game. That puts him just about at a 12.0 K/9; elite level numbers for a starter. If we extend our look at Lynn to his last ten starts we find that he’s had 7+ K’s in seven of those ten starts. Lynn will give up some runs (4.38 ERA over those ten games), but a high strikeout total is really all we are looking for since Fanball doesn’t count ER against your pitcher (other than to take away a QS). But, oh wait, Lance Lynn has SEVEN STRAIGHT QUALITY STARTS, so clearly that hasn’t been an issue for him. He has not scored below 31 FB points in those seven starts, yet is only priced at $9800 today. At that point he is my no doubt, lock it in cash and GPP pitcher today. I will take the $1200-$2200 savings over guys like Mike Soroka, Kenta Madea, and Luis Castillo and get bats; especially as neither Castillo (UNDER 30 FB points five of his last seven starts), Maeda (under 30 FB points in four of his last sevens starts and a 13.5 FB point effort against SF when he last faced them), or Soroka (UNDER 30 FB points four of his last seven starts) can match Lynn’s consistency. Inject all the Fanball Lance Lynn into my veins today.
Starting Nine (Stack of the Day): Atlanta Braves (vs Zack Wheeler- NYM/RHP)
Unless you were playing in Juice City (Coors) the last week, you are not coming close to being as hot as the Atlanta Braves are. They are averaging a wicked 9 runs per game over the last week with a .342 AVG and .654 SLG (60 POINTS HIGHER than the next best team, who happen to be the Rockies). It’s bombs away time for the Braves and we are NOT running away from them today. The current roster absolutely annihilates Zack Wheeler with a .345 AVG and 11XBH in 84 AB. Freddie Freeman leads the way with a .500 AVG, 5 XBH, and 12 BB in 20 AB against Wheeler (yes, that means his OBP against Wheeler would be .375 if we ONLY counted those 12 BB in 32 PA). The dude is a stone cold lock today. Other bats who have a positive BvP against Wheeler include both catchers (McCann .429 AVG in 7 AB and Flowers a .556 AVG in 9 AB), Josh Donaldson with a .571 AVG in 7 AB, and Nick Markakis with a .429 AVG in 7 AB. If we were to look at their last seven days stats, you’d see that everyone is hot, so instead let’s take a peek at how they do against RHP to give us an idea of where we want to go with the rest of our lineup (courtesy of MLB.com):
Despite being at the bottom of this list, it’s going to be very hard to fade Albies the way he’s playing right now (8 XBH and 9 RBI his last seven games), and deciding between Austin Riley and Ronald Acuna may simply come down to who you can fit into your lineup (I prefer Acuna for SB potential). What this does tell me though, is that if Charlie Culberson or Matt Joyce find their way into the lineup that we should consider giving them a place on our team for some salary relief. As of right now my main focus is a stack of Freeman, Albies, Acuna, and Donaldson (adding in Flowers on DK if he’s starting) but that could change once lineups are announced.
Pinch Hitter (HuLo play): Matt Adams (WSH/1B) vs Jake Arrieta (PHI/RHP)
Matt Adams is priced down at only $4500 today; a great price for a player who has the upside of Adams. Adams has hit Arrieta well in the past with a .360 AVG and 3 XBH in 25 AB. Over the last week Adams has a 1.000 SLG with 3 HR in 13 AB. While he’s not a lock to play, I think his BvP numbers will get hm into the lineup today. He also has a .549 SLG against RHP on the season, so there’s even more of a reason to him into the lineup. I love when my salary relief choice can produce with the same upside as one of my main stack players. Get Adams into your UTIL spot (with a Freeman at 1B as part of an ATL stack) and you’re on your way to a big day!
Riding the Pine (Fade of the Day): Patrick Corbin (WSH/LHP) vs Philadelphia Phillies
Corbin has averaged only 15 FB points over his last three games. What?!? Isn’t he supposed to be an ace? I just don’t see it with Corbin. He’s not an elite pitcher and a matchup against a Phillies team that can score makes me nervous. Jean Segura loves hitting against him (.636 AVG with 2 2B in 11 AB), as does Bryce Harper (.385 AVG with 3 2B in 13 AB). The only time he’s faced them this year he scored under 30 FB points, and we just can’t accept that from a guy who costs us in excess of $11000. Even if you’re not on the Lance Lynn Hype Train with me, I’d much rather spend down on someone like Mike Soroka, Yonny Chirinos, or Wade Miley rather than clicking on Corbin’s name.
Don’t forget that you can access the rest of our Reduced Player Pool as a Bankster DFS member. $2.99 per week gets you access to all the content we produce for all the sports we cover, our members only Slack Chat, and exclusive Fanball bonuses. Contact me @bankster17 or you can sign up for a membership here. Thank you for checking our our Fanball MLB Triple Play. You can find us here every day throughout the MLB season.