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Fanball MLB Triple Play – June 20, 2019

by • June 20, 2019

Did you know that on even a ten game MLB slate, there are approximately 250 TRILLION lineup combinations you can make? To be able to hit on the 1 lineup out of those combinations is harder than winning the lottery. A reduced player pool, though, can give you a significant advantage by reducing the possible lineup combinations you can make. If we limit our choices to only 5 players per position (a few extra for OF), you now have far fewer possible lineup combinations you can make (pricing helps reduce this number even lower). Sure, it’s still a lot of lineup choices (in the millions) but it’s only .000008% of the total possible lineup combinations everyone else is working with. That is a SIGNIFICANT advantage for you if you’re choosing from a strong reduced player pool. That’s where we come in to help.

    Bankster DFS, The Home of the Reduced Player Pool, has teamed up with Fanball to give you a daily sneak peak of three of the plays we have included in our Bankster DFS reduced player pool. We aren’t lineup sellers; we write full articles that explain which players we like, why we like those players, and how we like to build our teams. We are a learning site more than anything, and you can see that in heavy member interaction on our various Slack Chat channels (we have one for every sport that we cover – NBA, AAF, NFL, NHL, MLB, EPL, PGA, MMA, CBB, WWE, sports betting, and Best Ball 10’s). You can get the rest of our reduced player pool, our daily articles, our members only slack chat, and Fanball exclusives with a Bankster DFS membership. That membership costs only $2.99/wk and you get everything mentioned above with it. You can contact me about membership on Twitter @bankster17 or sign up for service here.

Let’s look at the MLB Triple Play for Thursday, June 20

On The Hill (Starting Pitcher): Charlie Morton (TB/RHP) at Oakland Athletics

    I strongly considered spending down at pitcher today with someone like Framber Valdez or Zac Gallen today (both great options), but then I did this:

and realized there’s literally no reason to spend down at the position today.  The last thing I want to do is get cute a pitcher and ruin a strong lineup where I can fit in four top bats in great spots. Now I don’t normally love sending my pitcher into Oakland but Morton is the hand’s down safest pitcher on the slate tonight and it’s not really close. You’re going to have to pay a premium for that safety but it’s probably going to be well worth it to have a locked in 27+ FB points from your SP1. Morton surpassed 27 FB points in eight of his last ten starts. What makes this play even more solid for me is that the A’s are actually pretty weak against RHP this year. Not a single regular on the team has a .300 AVG or better against RHP; the best AVG on the team is Marcus Semien at only .276. Mark Canha is the only regular (semi-regular) who has a .500 SLG or better against RHP this year. This is just not a strong offense against righties. Morton has faced Oakland once already this year and he was absolutely brilliant with 7IP/7K/0ER and only 4 baserunners allowed. Morton is my clear cut SP1 with the bats I showed early. With nearly $5k left to fill out my team ’ll find the bats on a 10 game slate to make it work.

Starting Nine (Stack of the Day): Milwaukee Brewers (vs Tanner Roark- CIN/RHP)

    For as good as Tanner Roark has been this year, he’s essentially throwing batting practice to LHB; a .305 BAA tells me that he could in for a wold of hurt at Miller Park against the Brewers today. Of course we are going to want to use Christian Yelich and Yasmani Grandal, but Roark’s struggles against lefties puts guys like Eric Thames and Travis Shaw into play as well for this game (if for no other reason than some cap relief with Shaw). It’s a shame that Mike Moustakas is injured and Keston Hiura is in the minors, but we can make this work without them (courtesy of MLB.com).

The really interesting name to me here is Ryan Braun. He’s almost a forgotten man on this team but he had a big game yesterday and hits RHP really well. He’s also been strong at home this year and comes in at a very reasonable price point today ($4800) Orlando Arcia and Hernan Perez are also in play if they find their way into the lineup as both do relatively well at Miller Park. As always, this is a wait and see who is hitting where type of situation for our value plays. Regardless, we want Brewers exposure today.

Pinch Hitter (HuLo play): Kike Hernandez (LAD/2B) vs Madison Bumgarner (LAD/LHP)

This should be a really interesting game as it’s widely expected that MadBum is going to go head-hunting on Max Muncy after Muncy showed him up the last time these two teams faced. I’m of the belief that either Muncy sits this game out, or that Bumgarner is a little more professional than that and he maintains his composure (until Muncy hits another bomb off him). Basically, don’t buy into the narrative on this game; instead, buy into the fact that the Dodgers hit LHP really well. We talked about this last night with Drew Pomeranz on the hill and nothing has really changed for me even with a more accomplished pitcher on the mound. The Dodgers are a perfect team to use in this spot to help you spend up on a second stack. Kike Hernandez is about as much of a lock as a player can be tonight. He absolutely owns Bumgarner with a .500 AVG and 10 XBH in 48 career AB. I don’t care how much of a funk he’s in (and he’s in a pretty big funk at the moment), you can’t beat his low price point and potential upside.

Riding the Pine (Fade of the Day): Julio Urias (LAD/LHP) vs San Francisco Giants
    Let’s consider this more of a PSA than a hard fade. Urias has all the upside in the world, but he’s not the true starter in this game today. Urias is simply being used as the opener for the Dodgers so you’re not going to come close to him hitting value. Even if he pitched 3 innings, you have no shot at a QS or enough volume to make up for his $10.6k price point (third highest priced pitcher on the slate). If it comes out that this was reported incorrectly and Urias will get a normal workload then I will retract this fade, but he hasn’t thrown for more than 3 IP or 41 pitches in any game this year; he’s not getting a full workload. Don’t get cute; he’s not striking out 9 batters in 3 IP (and even if he did he still wouldn’t be worth your time).

Don’t forget that you can access the rest of our Reduced Player Pool as a Bankster DFS member. $2.99 per week gets you access to all the content we produce for all the sports we cover, our members only Slack Chat, and exclusive Fanball bonuses. Contact me @bankster17 or you can sign up for a membership here. Thank you for checking our our Fanball MLB Triple Play. You can find us here every day throughout the MLB season.