Fanball MLB Triple Play – June 27, 2019
Did you know that on even a ten game MLB slate, there are approximately 250 TRILLION lineup combinations you can make? To be able to hit on the 1 lineup out of those combinations is harder than winning the lottery. A reduced player pool, though, can give you a significant advantage by reducing the possible lineup combinations you can make. If we limit our choices to only 5 players per position (a few extra for OF), you now have far fewer possible lineup combinations you can make (pricing helps reduce this number even lower). Sure, it’s still a lot of lineup choices (in the millions) but it’s only .000008% of the total possible lineup combinations everyone else is working with. That is a SIGNIFICANT advantage for you if you’re choosing from a strong reduced player pool. That’s where we come in to help.
Bankster DFS, The Home of the Reduced Player Pool, has teamed up with Fanball to give you a daily sneak peak of three of the plays we have included in our Bankster DFS reduced player pool. We aren’t lineup sellers; we write full articles that explain which players we like, why we like those players, and how we like to build our teams. We are a learning site more than anything, and you can see that in heavy member interaction on our various Slack Chat channels (we have one for every sport that we cover – NBA, CFL, NFL, NHL, MLB, EPL, PGA, MMA, CBB, WWE, sports betting, and Best Ball 10’s). You can get the rest of our reduced player pool, our daily articles, our members only slack chat, and Fanball exclusives with a Bankster DFS membership. That membership costs only $2.99/wk and you get everything mentioned above with it. You can contact me about membership on Twitter @bankster17 or sign up for service here.
Let’s look at the MLB Triple Play for Thursday, June 27
On The Hill (Starting Pitcher): Zack Wheeler (NYM/RHP) at Philadelphia Phillies
Zack Wheeler is too expensive, he’s going to a great hitting environment, and he’s going up against Aaron Nola. All of these reasons are going to keep his ownership low. Despite JT Realmuto and Cesar Hernandez faring well against him, Wheeler has managed to dominate the Phillies in two starts this year (14IP/16K/3ER). Even when Wheeler was pitching poorly he was still striking batters out, and he’s got a 5:1 K to BB ratio against RHB this year. Philly is probably only going to throw a couple of lefties into their lineup (Bruce/Harper), and they are a combined 5 for 34 against Wheeler in their careers. You have to take some shots on a six game slate, and going against the grain by using the opposing pitcher to the day’s chalk pitcher (Nola) is a great way to do that. Remember, ER don’t have a negative value associated with them on Fanball so we are only looking for IP and K, and Wheeler has gone 6 IP or more in nine of ten starts and has 6+ K’s in eight of ten starts. He’s actually a lot safer than you realize.
Starting Nine (Stack of the Day): Minnesota Twins (vs Jalen Beeks – TB/LHP)
Jalen Beeks is a lefty that’s reverse splitsy, giving up a .283 AVG to LHB as opposed to a .241 AVG to RHB. Sadly, there aren’t many Twins lefties who can take advantage of that. Max Kepler is a guy to take a shot on for his power upside and Eddie Rosario for his consistency, but that’s about it for lefties that I’d consider. Let’s look at who really crushes LHP on the Twins, courtesy of MLB.com:
I’m going to ignore the reverse splits a little bit and look to CJ Cron, Nelson Cruz, Mitch Garver, and Luis Arraez for a stack. Arraez is still so cheap and he’s been locked in (.436 AVG in 39 AB this year). Depending on how the lineup shakes out we can look to someone like Miguel Sano or Jake Cave as well if they are batting in the top six spots of the order. Notably absent is Jorge Polanco, he just doesn’t generate enough power against LHP (.386 SLG) for me to consider him at $6.9k.
Pinch Hitter (HuLo play): JP Crawford (SEA/SS) at Chase Anderson
JP Crawford is too hot to ignore right now (.333 AVG with 10 RBI over his last ten games heading into last night, and then he went 3 for 5 with 3 more RBI on Wednesday). He has 16+ Fanball points in six of his last seven games, and although Chase Anderson is a heavy reverse splits pitcher (.327 AVG to RHB; .168 AVG to LHB) I think we should still heaving consider Crawford given his low $4800 price point and awesome hitting environment in Miller Park.
Riding the Pine (Fade of the Day): Aaron Nola (PHI/RHP) vs New York Mets
I’m not chasing the chalk on a six game slate where there are almost no other “good” pitchers. Nola gets hit pretty hard by LHB with a .286 BAA, opening the door for an opportunity to shoot for a double whammy by stacking guys like Michael Conforto, Dominic Smith, Jeff McNeil, and Robinson Cano. Nola has exceeded 30 FB points in only half of his last ten starts; not a consistent enough effort for a player priced at $11.5k (the highest on the slate). I’d much rather hit the other side of this game and get a more consistent Zack Wheeler as a far lower ownership.
Don’t forget that you can access the rest of our Reduced Player Pool as a Bankster DFS member. $2.99 per week gets you access to all the content we produce for all the sports we cover, our members only Slack Chat, and exclusive Fanball bonuses. Contact me @bankster17 or you can sign up for a membership here. Thank you for checking out our Fanball MLB Triple Play. You can find us here every day throughout the MLB season.