Fanball MLB Triple Play – June 5, 2019
Did you know that on even a ten game MLB slate, there are approximately 250 TRILLION lineup combinations you can make? To be able to hit on the 1 lineup out of those combinations is harder than winning the lottery. A reduced player pool, though, can give you a significant advantage by reducing the possible lineup combinations you can make. If we limit our choices to only 5 players per position (a few extra for OF), you now have far fewer possible lineup combinations you can make (pricing helps reduce this number even lower). Sure, it’s still a lot of lineup choices (in the millions) but it’s only .000008% of the total possible lineup combinations everyone else is working with. That is a SIGNIFICANT advantage for you if you’re choosing from a strong reduced player pool. That’s where we come in to help.
Bankster DFS, The Home of the Reduced Player Pool, has teamed up with Fanball to give you a daily sneak peak of three of the plays we have included in our Bankster DFS reduced player pool. We aren’t lineup sellers; we write full articles that explain which players we like, why we like those players, and how we like to build our teams. We are a learning site more than anything, and you can see that in heavy member interaction on our various Slack Chat channels (we have one for every sport that we cover – NBA, AAF, NFL, NHL, MLB, EPL, PGA, MMA, CBB, WWE, sports betting, and Best Ball 10’s). You can get the rest of our reduced player pool, our daily articles, our members only slack chat, and Fanball exclusives with a Bankster DFS membership. That membership costs only $2.99/wk and you get everything mentioned above with it. You can contact me about membership on Twitter @bankster17 or sign up for service here.
Let’s look at the MLB Triple Play for Wednesday, June 5
On The Hill (Starting Pitcher): Charlie Morton (TB/RHP) at Detroit Tigers
I so badly wanted to put Mike Minor in this spot (and I do like Minor), but to get a guy like Morton for $100 cheaper was too good of an opportunity to pass up. Morton has been very consistent, with 30+ FB points in five of his last seven starts. He’s been outstanding on the road this year with a 1.88 ERA and 10.8 K/9 in seven starts. Today he gets a Tigers team that has struck out nearly 30% of the time against RHP this year. They also have a .374 SLG against righties this year, good for the second worst power display of any team in all of baseball. I know they had a good game yesterday against Blake Snell, but this Tigers team hasn’t shown the ability to put together back to back strong games all year and I am willing to take the chance that they don’t figure it out in time for this game. I just don’t see myself being too worried about a lineup that consists of JaCoby Jones and John Hicks. Morton has had either 6 IP or 6 K in each of his last eight starts (oftentimes both), and using those both as a floor seems like a good place to start. I like him to have some upside above that as well, making him a steal as the tenth highest priced pitcher on the slate.
Starting Nine (Stack of the Day): St Louis Cardinals (at Anthony DeSclafani – CIN/RHP)
Do you like BvP, Timmy? If so, then do I have a play for you! The Cardinals have five guys who should be in the lineup today that have a .500+ SLG against DeSclafani. This is lead by Matt Carpenter (1.000 SLG; 11 for 24 with 6 XBH) and Paul Goldschmidt (.933 SLG; 8 for 15 with 4 XBH). Both guys are playing really well at the moment (.333+ AVG for both over their last ten games) so that makes it even better to get them into your lineup. Harrison Bader, Marcell Ozuna, and Dexter Fowler have combined for a .341 AVG with 5 XBH in 41 AB against DeSclafani and are great plays to add to a STL stack (especially if Bader is hitting high up in the order). Matt Wieters has been awesome as a fill in for Yadier Molina, batting .263 with 4 XBH in 19 AB over the last week. I love him as a cheap catching option if he’s in the lineup today. Paul DeJong is ice cold, but he has 19 XBH against RHP this year so if you wanted to add him into your lineup it wouldn’t be the worst idea. He usually bats second in the lineup and it’s tough to do an STL stack that doesn’t include him. A team that starts with Charlie Morton and a five man Cardinals stack (Wieters, Goldy, Carp, Ozuna, and Fowler) leaves you with just over $5000 per player to complete your roster; a very nice number to work with given the amount of value you can find on Fanball every night.
Pinch Hitter (HuLo play): Garrett Cooper (MIA/3B) at Jimmy Nelson (MIL/RHP)
It sure would seem like I’m chasing points here from last night but there are a lot of great reasons to go right back to Cooper tonight. The first reason, and this is pretty important, is that last night was no one time occurance. Cooper has 10+ FB points in six of his last eight games, yet he only will cost you $3200 to get into your lineup. I love his matchup tonight in Milwaukee against Jimmy Nelson, who is making his first major league start in nearly two years after dealing with a major shoulder surgery. I know that Nelson has a ton of upside, but I love to pick on guys coming off the DL (still won’t call it the IL) and to do so with a hot bat is a huge plus.
Riding the Pine (Fade of the Day): Carlos Carrasco (CLE/RHP) vs Minnesota Twins
Do you want strikeouts? Carlos Carrasco is averaging UNDER 6 strikeouts per game over his last five starts. You could spend $300 more and use Chris Sale instead; he’s had 10+ strikeouts in five of his last six starts. Do you want a good BvP? The Twins have a .295 AVG with a .498 SLG as a team against Carrasco in over 200 AB. You could spend $600 LESS and use Yu Darvish against a Rockies team that has a .213 AVG and .447 SLG with a 45% K-rate in 47 career AB (and is bad on the road against RHP). Do you want consistency? Carlos Carrasco has 30+ Fanball points just once in his last eight starts. You can spend $600 LESS and and get Charlie Morton in a far better matchup against the Tigers; 30+ FB points in five of his last six starts. The bottom line is that there are many other options today and there’s no real reason to take a chance on Carlos Carrasco in a bad matchup.
Don’t forget that you can access the rest of our Reduced Player Pool as a Bankster DFS member. $2.99 per week gets you access to all the content we produce for all the sports we cover, our members only Slack Chat, and exclusive Fanball bonuses. Contact me @bankster17 or you can sign up for a membership here. Thank you for checking our our Fanball MLB Triple Play. You can find us here every day throughout the MLB season.