Fanball MLB Triple Play – June 6, 2019
Did you know that on even a ten game MLB slate, there are approximately 250 TRILLION lineup combinations you can make? To be able to hit on the 1 lineup out of those combinations is harder than winning the lottery. A reduced player pool, though, can give you a significant advantage by reducing the possible lineup combinations you can make. If we limit our choices to only 5 players per position (a few extra for OF), you now have far fewer possible lineup combinations you can make (pricing helps reduce this number even lower). Sure, it’s still a lot of lineup choices (in the millions) but it’s only .000008% of the total possible lineup combinations everyone else is working with. That is a SIGNIFICANT advantage for you if you’re choosing from a strong reduced player pool. That’s where we come in to help.
Bankster DFS, The Home of the Reduced Player Pool, has teamed up with Fanball to give you a daily sneak peak of three of the plays we have included in our Bankster DFS reduced player pool. We aren’t lineup sellers; we write full articles that explain which players we like, why we like those players, and how we like to build our teams. We are a learning site more than anything, and you can see that in heavy member interaction on our various Slack Chat channels (we have one for every sport that we cover – NBA, AAF, NFL, NHL, MLB, EPL, PGA, MMA, CBB, WWE, sports betting, and Best Ball 10’s). You can get the rest of our reduced player pool, our daily articles, our members only slack chat, and Fanball exclusives with a Bankster DFS membership. That membership costs only $2.99/wk and you get everything mentioned above with it. You can contact me about membership on Twitter @bankster17 or sign up for service here.
Let’s look at the MLB Triple Play for Thursday, June 6
On The Hill (Starting Pitcher): Zack Wheeler (NYM/RHP) vs San Francisco Giants
I love that the early slate on Fanball today includes the Houston/Seattle game. So much ownership is going to shift away from Zack Wheeler to Justin Verlander and that’s awesome. Without Verlander on the slate we have Chalk Wheeler, but with Verlander we could get 20% owned Wheeler; a huge bonus! The Giants were hitting well prior to their matchup against Jason Vargas yesterday, but overall they’ve been really bad against RHP this year. For the season they have a .225 AVG (29th in MLB) and .384 SLG (26th in MLB) against righties. Wheeler is a reverse splits pitcher and has been dominant against LHB this year, posing a .217 BAA and 40 K’s against them. SF is either going to roll out a number of lefties (Belt, Panik, Crawford, etc) or they are going to use inferior bats. Either way, that’s a plus for Wheeler. He has 6+ strikeouts in all but two of his last ten starts and is probably the second most talented pitcher on this slate. I’m all about using him in a GPP for sure, but I won’t hesitate to use him in cash over Verlander if you needed to save money for a big bat.
Starting Nine (Stack of the Day): Atlanta Braves (at Chris Archer – PIT/RHP)
Yesterday we have Joe Musgrove in the player pool against the Braves because of his .177 BAA vs RHB. Today we have the Braves in the pool because Archer has a .291 BAA and 1.84 WHIP against RHB. Archer has been awful recently (26 ER, 8 HR allowed, and 19 BB in 29.2 IP over his last six starts). While nobody on the Braves has had success against Archer in their careers (.150 BAA in 120 AB), we have to take into consideration that the majority of this negative BvP comes from Josh Donaldson, Brian McCann, Tyler Flowers, and Nick Markakis (92 of the team’s 120 AB against Archer). Do you know whose names I don’t see there? That would be Ronald Acuna, Freddie Freeman, Dansby Swanson, and Austin Riley. That quartet has a grand total of 13 AB against Archer so BvP doesn’t really come into play here. What does come into play is Riley’s .564 SLG vs RHP, Freeman’s .556 SLG vs RHP, Swanson’s .486 SLG vs RHP (and .409 AVG/.909 SLG the last week), and Acuna’s .416 SLG vs RHP (and .381 AVG over the last seven days). We also have to remember that a lot of the 92 AB from Donaldson and friends came when Archer was actually good, so I’d be hesitant to fade them if they have been hitting RHP well this year. As it were, Donaldson has a .500 SLG vs RHP and Flowers has a .493 SLG vs RHP so they should be in play as well. I think people might be off ATL today after what Musgrove did to them, and if I can get them at a low ownership I’ll be thrilled.
Pinch Hitter (HuLo play): Kyle Seager (SEA/3B) vs Justin Verlander (HOU/RHP)
If you want to get funky, then Seager is an interesting double whammy play for you today against the clear chalk pitcher on this slate. Seager has scored at least one run in four straight games, and has multiple hits (including a HR) in two of his last four starts. Over his career he’s got a .308 AVG with 6 XBH in 26 AB against the Astros ace. BvP is never a sure thing, but if I wanted to try to take a shot against Verlander then it’ll be this BvP that gets me there. Clearly I’m only using this in a high risk GPP; no cash for me against Verlander.
Riding the Pine (Fade of the Day): Boston Red Sox RHB vs Danny Duffy (KC/LHP)
Mookie Betts has a .600 AVG with 4 HR in 10 AB against Danny Duffy in his career, but nobody else on Boston hits him very hard. Duffy is a reverse splits pitcher in 2019 (.235 AVG vs RHB; .353 AVG vs LHB) so I’d be more inclined to look at guys like Rafael Devers, Jackie Bradley Jr, and Brock Holt before I run and spend up on Xander Bogaerts or JD Martinez (.200 AVG in 25 career AB vs Duffy).
Don’t forget that you can access the rest of our Reduced Player Pool as a Bankster DFS member. $2.99 per week gets you access to all the content we produce for all the sports we cover, our members only Slack Chat, and exclusive Fanball bonuses. Contact me @bankster17 or you can sign up for a membership here. Thank you for checking our our Fanball MLB Triple Play. You can find us here every day throughout the MLB season.