Fanball MLB Triple Play – May 13, 2019
Did you know that on even a ten game MLB slate, there are approximately 250 TRILLION lineup combinations you can make? To be able to hit on the 1 lineup out of those combinations is harder than winning the lottery. A reduced player pool, though, can give you a significant advantage by reducing the possible lineup combinations you can make. If we limit our choices to only 5 players per position (a few extra for OF), you now have far fewer possible lineup combinations you can make (pricing helps reduce this number even lower). Sure, it’s still a lot of lineup choices (in the millions) but it’s only .000008% of the total possible lineup combinations everyone else is working with. That is a SIGNIFICANT advantage for you if you’re choosing from a strong reduced player pool. That’s where we come in to help.
Bankster DFS, The Home of the Reduced Player Pool, has teamed up with Fanball to give you a daily sneak peak of three of the plays we have included in our Bankster DFS reduced player pool. We aren’t lineup sellers; we write full articles that explain which players we like, why we like those players, and how we like to build our teams. We are a learning site more than anything, and you can see that in heavy member interaction on our various Slack Chat channels (we have one for every sport that we cover – NBA, AAF, NFL, NHL, MLB, EPL, PGA, MMA, CBB, WWE, sports betting, and Best Ball 10’s). You can get the rest of our reduced player pool, our daily articles, our members only slack chat, and Fanball exclusives with a Bankster DFS membership. That membership costs only $2.99/wk and you get everything mentioned above with it. You can contact me about membership on Twitter @bankster17 or sign up for service here.
Let’s look at the MLB Triple Play for Monday, May 13
On The Hill (Starting Pitcher): Robbie Ray (ARI/LHP) vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Robbie Ray walks more batters than I’d like from a cash game pitcher (although he’s only walked 2 batters in two home starts this year) but he’s been pitching lights out recently (1.44 ERA and a 13.8 K/9 over his last three starts) and his strikeout upside is far greater than a guy like Jose Berrios. The Pirates have a 31% K-rate and are last in the majors with a .321 SLG against LHP. Ray only gives up 0.8 HR/9 this year, so this is a great matchup for him. While we usually like to fade the highest priced pitcher on a slate, Ray is still cheap enough that we can roll him out as our SP1 with relatively little concern.
Starting Nine (Stack of the Day): Houston Astros (vs Matthew Boyd – DET/LHP):
We tried to attack Daniel Norris yesterday with the Twins and that didn’t work as well as we had hoped. Today we are going back to Detroit to go after their best SP, Matthew Boyd. Boyd has been a stud this year with a tiny ERA and a ton of strikeouts. On the other hand, the Astros are starting to hit like we thought they would earlier in the year and they absolutely hammer LHP. George Springer may be the hottest hitter on the planet with a .571 AVG and 7 XBH over the last seven days. He crushes lefties with a .353 AVG and 7 XBH in only 34 AB this year. Michael Brantley (.324 AVG/3XBH in 37 AB against LHP)and Carlos Correa (.300 AVG/4 XBH in 30 AB against LHP) join him as expensive guys who are in a great spot. Alex Bregman (7 HR/17 RBI over his last ten games) hit everyone and needs to be in lineups as well. A few lower end guys to keep an eye on are Yuli Gurriel (.440 AVG/3XBH the last week) and Robinson Chirinos (.385 AVG/2HR the last week; 3 for 7 with 2 HR against Boyd). Both of these guys are priced under $5k on Fanball and can fit in any lineup. If Jake Marisnick is in the lineup for Houston then you can consider him for some salary relief at only $3100. He has hit lefties hard with a .400 AVG in 20 AB this year.
Pinch Hitter (HuLo play): Marwin Gonzalez (MIN/3B vs Tyler Skaggs – LAA/LHP)
One other name to keep in mind is Marwin Gonzalez. He has a .400 AVG over his last ten games. He’s not a power guy, but he hits Tyler Skaggs well (.583 AVG in 12 AB). He’s super cheap at only $3900 and is a guy you can plug in for some salary relief so you can spend up on big bats like an Astros stack, a Philly stack, or guys like Trout/Yelich.
Riding the Pine (Fade of the Day): Shane Bieber (CLE/RHP at Chicago White Sox)
I don’t dislike Bieber, but I don’t see a need to use him in this spot either. He faced the White Sox in his last start on May 8 and he had his second lowest fantasy output since March 31. It’s not even that a game of 27.5 Fanball points is all that bad, but at his price point you really want him to get you over 30 fantasy points. This game is in Chicago, a good hitting environment, so I don’t see him exceeded his output from last week either. He’s got 8+ strikeout upside but I could spend a few hundred dollars more and get double digit strikeout upside from Robbie Ray in a much better matchup (at home against the least powerful team against LHP). So yeah, there’s nothing wrong with Bieber per se, but I just don’t see a need to use him in cash lineups (too risky) or GPP lineups (not enough upside; probable high ownership).
Don’t forget that you can access the rest of our Reduced Player Pool as a Bankster DFS member. $2.99 per week gets you access to all the content we produce for all the sports we cover, our members only Slack Chat, and exclusive Fanball bonuses. Contact me @bankster17 or you can sign up for a membership here. Thank you for checking our our Fanball MLB Triple Play. You can find us here every day throughout the MLB season.