Fanball MLB Triple Play – May 16, 2019
Did you know that on even a ten game MLB slate, there are approximately 250 TRILLION lineup combinations you can make? To be able to hit on the 1 lineup out of those combinations is harder than winning the lottery. A reduced player pool, though, can give you a significant advantage by reducing the possible lineup combinations you can make. If we limit our choices to only 5 players per position (a few extra for OF), you now have far fewer possible lineup combinations you can make (pricing helps reduce this number even lower). Sure, it’s still a lot of lineup choices (in the millions) but it’s only .000008% of the total possible lineup combinations everyone else is working with. That is a SIGNIFICANT advantage for you if you’re choosing from a strong reduced player pool. That’s where we come in to help.
Bankster DFS, The Home of the Reduced Player Pool, has teamed up with Fanball to give you a daily sneak peak of three of the plays we have included in our Bankster DFS reduced player pool. We aren’t lineup sellers; we write full articles that explain which players we like, why we like those players, and how we like to build our teams. We are a learning site more than anything, and you can see that in heavy member interaction on our various Slack Chat channels (we have one for every sport that we cover – NBA, AAF, NFL, NHL, MLB, EPL, PGA, MMA, CBB, WWE, sports betting, and Best Ball 10’s). You can get the rest of our reduced player pool, our daily articles, our members only slack chat, and Fanball exclusives with a Bankster DFS membership. That membership costs only $2.99/wk and you get everything mentioned above with it. You can contact me about membership on Twitter @bankster17 or sign up for service here.
Let’s look at the MLB Triple Play for Thursday, May 16
On The Hill (Starting Pitcher): Chris Bassitt (OAK/RHP) at Detroit Tigers
On a day of weak pitching, the pitcher who may have the highest ceiling of anyone on the slate in Chris Bassitt. He’s looked outstanding for Oakland this year, and even in games where he’s gotten hit a bit he’s been striking batters out at a high rate. For the season he has an 11.3 K/9 and a low strikeout game of 6 (with two 9 K and a 7 K game in there in four starts). The Tigers are awful against RHP, striking out 28.5% of the time and generating very little power (.363 SLG; third worst in baseball). Bassitt could be pretty high owned, but we can play with that number a little bit by using him with some bats who won’t be highly owned (like the Nationals, Blue Jays, or Padres).
Starting Nine (Stack of the Day): St Louis Cardinals (at Julio Teheran – ATL/RHP):
Today I am focused on getting as many Cardinals bats into my lineup as I can. St Louis is really strong against Julio Teheran. I get that Teheran has looked halfway decent this year, but he hasn’t been elite either. He has a 4.26 ERA (not elite), 1.4 HR/9 (not elite), and around a 50% fly ball rate (not elite). Sun Trust Park is definitely hitter friendly, and the Cardinals should take advantage as a number of them are either really hot right or have hit Teheran well in the past. Marell Ozuna has a .378 AVG and 1.000 OPS against Teheran in 45 AB with only a 16% K-rate. He’s a lock for me for sure. Matt Carpenter is also a lock for me with a .500 AVG and 1.562 OPS against Teheran in 14 AB. Carpenter, like Jose Abreu in the AL, is a guy who always comes through when he has a strong BvP against a pitcher. Paul Goldschmidt has found his stroke with a .435 AVG over the last week, and Paul DeJong isn’t too far behind with a .303 AVG and 3 XBH over his last ten games. Kolten Wong, Dexter Fowler, and Jose Martinez are all playing well, too, and can be used to round out a Cards stack if needed.
Pinch Hitter (HuLo play): Omar Narvaez (SEA/C vs Michael Pineda – MIN/RHP)
Michael Pineda has entered the Danger Zone. After starting the year with two strong games, he has fallen back down to Earth with a 7.56 ERA since that point. This includes an ugly 2.9 HR/9. Omar Narvaez has been one of the best catchers in baseball the last couple of weeks (.353 AVG and 4 XBH his last ten games). He may cost you to play him but the upside is legit and East Coast bias tends to keep late game stacks to very, very low ownership.
Riding the Pine (Fade of the Day): Zach Davies (MIL/RHP at Philadelphia Phillies)
Davies hasn’t given up more than 3 ER in any start this year and has only surrendered 3 HR in 8 starts. He’s a guy you’d think I’d be all over but I’m just not feeling it. Davies feels like a guy who is pitching over his head, and some of his ratios back that thought up. He is not a high strikeout guy with an ugly 6.0 K/9. He also has a fly ball rate of about 42% over his last four starts, and while that’s not a terrible number it is somewhat of an issue since does get a ton of balls put into play. A team like the Phillies, in a stadium like Citizens Bank Ballpark, is going to take advantage of that. I see this as another double whammy opportunity; stacking a few Phillies bats against Davies in the hopes that the regression starts today.
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