Bankster’s NBA 3-Point Play – April 7, 2019
Fanball NBA 3 Point Play
By Bankster DFS
Did you know that on even a six game NBA slate, there are approximately 250 BILLION lineup combinations you can make? To be able to hit on the 1 lineup out of those combinations is harder than winning the lottery. A reduced player pool, though, can give you a significant advantage by reducing the possible lineup combinations you can make. If we limit our choices to only 5 players per position, you now have 400,000 possible lineup combinations you can make (pricing helps reduce this number even lower). Sure, that’s still a lot of lineup choices but it’s only .00016% of the total possible lineup combinations everyone else is working with. That is a SIGNIFICANT advantage for you if you’re choosing from a strong reduced player pool. That’s where we come in to help.
Bankster DFS, The Home of the Reduced Player Pool, has teamed up with Fanball to give you a daily sneak peak of three of the plays we have included in our Bankster DFS reduced player pool. We aren’t lineup sellers; we write full articles that explain which players we like, why we like those players, and how we like to build our teams. We are a learning site more than anything, and you can see that in heavy member interaction on our various Slack Chat channels (we have one for every sport that we cover – NBA, AAF, NFL, NHL, MLB, EPL, PGA, MMA, CBB, WWE, sports betting, and Best Ball 10’s). You can get the rest of our reduced player pool, our daily articles, our members only slack chat, and Fanball exclusives with a Bankster DFS membership. That membership costs only $2.99/wk and you get everything mentioned above with it; 10% of all membership fees are donated to Donors Choose (a site that funds projects for teachers and their classrooms). You can contact me about membership on Twitter @bankster17 or sign up for service here.
Let’s look at the 3 point plays for Sunday, April 7…
From the Corner: Eric Bledsoe (MIL/PG – $6,100)
Is said player playing against Atlanta? Yes? Then you need to get him into your lineup. The Hawks are so deep into DGAF mode that even Jay Cutler is a uncomfortable. They make the Knicks look like they are trying to win the NBA Championship. You, me, and Pookie from down the way could light up the Hawks for a buck twenty! Bledsoe has turned it on recently with five games of 40+ fantasy points in his last eight starts. Am I worried about blowout or minutes restriction? Kind of, sure, but unless we hear that Bledsoe will be held out then I’m going to assume a full 28+ minute game out of him (a number he’s hit in all but one of his last ten games).
From the Wing: Julius Randle (NO/PF – $8,600)
Do you think Randle got sick of hearing about Chris Wood and just said, “screw it, I’m taking over?” He’s been in full on beast mode the last few games; 50+ fantasy points in three of his last four games. Not conicicently, he had 30+ minutes in all three of those games. The Kings are not a strong opponent; giving up 120 points with semi-regularity these days. As long as we hear that Randle is going to play his full allotment of minutes, we have to give him a long look with his upside.
From Way Downtown: Mason Plumlee (DEN/C – $4,400)
Jamal Murray, Paul Millsap, and Nikola Jokic are going to be sitting out this game. That leaves pretty much all the minutes for Mason Plumlee. The guy is a 20+ fantasy point per game scorer when Jokic does play, but when Joker sits he’s a 40+ fantasy point upside guy. That’s a potential 10x return; a number far too enticing to pass on. Plumlee could be heavy chalk, but it’s pretty safe chalk and that’s not always the case this late in the year. I’m willing to eat it if it means I can spend up elsewhere.
On the Bench (Fade of the Day): Everyone
I say this facetiously, but it’s very important that you take special care when making your lineups this late in the year. There’s a ton of value to be had, and knowledge is power. People who blindly put in studs that who end up seeing limited minutes are that much further behind the curve than those of us who make sure to hang around at lock to see who is actually going to get minutes. So no, we don’t think you fade everyone and not play; quite the opposite. There’s a huge edge to be gained by paying attention and knowing that much more than your opponents. Spoiler: we will be running this “fade” the rest of the year since we really don’t know this far before lock who will and won’t play; it would be irresponsible to pretend otherwise.
Don’t forget that you can access the rest of our Reduced Player Pool as a Bankster DFS member. $2.99 per week gets you access to all the content we produce for all the sports we cover, our members only Slack Chat, and exclusive Fanball bonuses. Contact me @bankster17 or you can sign up for a membership here. Thank you for checking our our Fanball NBA 3 Point Play. You can find us here every day throughout the NBA season (MLB coming soon).