Bankster’s NBA 3-Point Play – March 22, 2019
Fanball’s NBA 3 Point Play
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Did you know that on even a six game NBA slate, there are approximately 250 BILLION lineup combinations you can make? To be able to hit on the 1 lineup out of those combinations is harder than winning the lottery. A reduced player pool, though, can give you a significant advantage by reducing the possible lineup combinations you can make. If we limit our choices to only 5 players per position, you now have 400,000 possible lineup combinations you can make (pricing helps reduce this number even lower). Sure, that’s still a lot of lineup choices but it’s only .00016% of the total possible lineup combinations everyone else is working with. That is a SIGNIFICANT advantage for you if you’re choosing from a strong reduced player pool. That’s where we come in to help.
Bankster DFS, The Home of the Reduced Player Pool, has teamed up with Fanball to give you a daily sneak peak of three of the plays we have included in our Bankster DFS reduced player pool. We aren’t lineup sellers; we write full articles that explain which players we like, why we like those players, and how we like to build our teams. We are a learning site more than anything, and you can see that in heavy member interaction on our various Slack Chat channels (we have one for every sport that we cover – NBA, AAF, NFL, NHL, MLB, EPL, PGA, MMA, CBB, WWE, sports betting, and Best Ball 10’s). You can get the rest of our reduced player pool, our daily articles, our members only slack chat, and Fanball exclusives with a Bankster DFS membership. That membership costs only $2.99/wk and you get everything mentioned above with it; 10% of all membership fees are donated to Donors Choose (a site that funds projects for teachers and their classrooms). You can contact me about membership on Twitter @bankster17 or sign up for service here.
Let’s look at the 3 point plays for Friday, March 22…
From the Corner: Russell Westbrook (OKC – PG – $13,000)
OKC and Toronto just met the other night and the game saw 237 total points. Tonight the total is sitting at 226 with a tiny 2.5 point spread. I think the game gets to the over, and OT is not out of the question given the competitiveness of these two squad. Kawhi Leonard is going to set out to put the clamps on Paul George as he did on Wednesday night. That will leave a lot of the offensive responsibility to Westbrook; a role he thrives in. On Wednesday night he exceeded 66 fantasy points and it’s not crazy to think he will approach that again tonight. Of all the big names on the slate tonight (Harden, Giannis, LeBron), it’s Westbrook that is in the best situation to lead the slate.
From the Wing: Montrezl Harrell (LAC – PF – $6,800)
This one doesn’t take too much analysis – Harrell is still sitting in the high $6k price range despite scoring at least 40 fantasy points in four straight games. He has a strong matchup in Cleveland tonight in a game that could be a sneaky fantasy slugfest. Harrell probably won’t see a high ownership given some of the other names available to him at his position, but he’s a strong foundation for a balanced lineup that fades a lot of the higher priced options. I really like using him in a TOR/OKC game stack for a bit of low-owned differentiation. Using he and Pascal Siakam at your forward spots has a 6x return written all over it.
From Way Downtown: Delon Wright (MEM – PG – $4,600)
Both Mike Conley and Avery Bradley are out tonight and that will mean a ton of minutes for Wright. He’s averaging over 30 minutes per game over his last ten, but saw that number to increase to 41 minutes on Wednesday. Wright doesn’t do anything too spectacularly but he’s generally good for a 20 fantasy point floor with some upside in the 30 fantasy point range in the right matchup. Even in a less than ideal matchup, minutes matter and Wright will surely see plenty.
On the Bench (Fade of the Day): James Harden (HOU – SG – $12,900)
It’s always risky to tell you fade James Harden but he’s been a floor guy against San Antonio rather than a ceiling guy. His season average is 62 fantasy points. In three games against the Spurs he’s averaged only 54 fantasy points. While in theory it’s nice to get 50+ fantasy points from one of your guys, it’s not ideal when that guy costs you what Harden does. You want to get at least 60 fantasy points, and even that is pushing it. I’d rather spend $4k less and use D’Angelo Russell at G and load up at another position rather than a min-priced guy and Harden. Clearly Harden has the ability to break a slate but there are enough other options, and the history is weak enough, that a fade is definitely in play for this slate.
Don’t forget that you can access the rest of our Reduced Player Pool as a Bankster DFS member. $2.99 per week gets you access to all the content we produce for all the sports we cover, our members only Slack Chat, and exclusive Fanball bonuses. Contact me @bankster17 or you can sign up for a membership here. Thank you for checking our our Fanball NBA 3 Point Play. You can find us here every day throughout the NBA season (MLB coming soon).