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Easy Money: Week 1 DFS Advice

by • September 5, 2018

Hello DFS’ers! It’s officially football season, and all of us here at Fanball can’t wait to kick off the season. Here, we wanted to give you four players to target as you select your teams for this weekends games. Dollar for dollar at their position, these names will give you the best value available, help you make the most of your $55,000 Fanball salary cap, and give you the best chance to win.

Best Value, QB: Blake Bortles @ New York (Giants) – $5,900 – 11% of Cap

I wouldn’t call myself a Blake Bortles believer. He’s got very little talent around him, and typically isn’t the kind of quarterback who’s going to make marginal receivers look like pro-bowlers. But this is the Giants we’re talking about. Their pass defense is just about as bad as it gets. New York ranked 32nd in touchdowns, and 30th in passing yards allowed to quarterbacks, which culminated in them placing last in fantasy points surrendered at the position. The Giants decided to go with offense early and often in April’s draft, leaving them with a back end that is mostly the same. Look for Bortles to make the opener one of his best games of the season.

Best Value, RB: Alex Collins vs Buffalo – $7,000 – 13% of Cap

Alex Collins starts his season with what is perhaps the easiest draw for any running back. Teams were running all over Buffalo last season, as an amazing 15 backs reached the 50-yard marker, and 14 backs found their way into the end zone. The Bills gave up an average of 112 yards and 1.1 touchdowns to opposing backfields, which both ranked as the worst in the league. They were actually quite stout in holding down running backs in the passing game, ranking tied for fourth in touchdowns allowed, and 12th in yardage. But since Collins has never been the receiving type, this shouldn’t affect him in any significant way. Buffalo smartly added Tremaine Edmunds and Harrison Phillips in the early rounds of the 2018 draft, which should vastly improve their front seven down the road. But early in the season, you probably need not worry about these new additions.

Best Value, WR: Brandin Cooks @ Oakland – $7100 – 13% of Cap

The Oakland Raiders were by most measures, hardly horrible when it came to defending receivers a year ago. In terms of yardage, receptions, touchdowns, and fantasy points allowed to the receiver position, the Raiders were actually a top-twenty defense. But when we dig into the advanced stats, we see why this suits up to be such a promising matchup for Brandin Cooks. Against number one receivers, as Cooks is going to be for the Rams, Oakland ranked 30th in DVOA. Perhaps even more important, the Raiders were the worst team in the league covering the deep ball, where we all know Cooks loves to make his mark. He faced off against Oakland one time last year. As we’d expect, Cooks found tremendous success, to the tune of 6 receptions for 149 yards and one touchdown.

Best Value, TE: Ricky Seals-Jones vs Washington – $4300 – 8% of Cap

Washington had all sorts of problems trying to stop offenses in 2017. Unsurprisingly, they weren’t exactly elite when it came to stopping tight ends. The Redskins let eight different tight ends get to 50 yards, allowed six to catch five or more passes, and let up a touchdown to an opposing tight end in half of their games. In receptions, yards, and touchdowns allowed to the tight end position, Washington finished in the bottom ten. There’s a lot to like with Ricky Seals-Jones, but his history against the Redskins provides us with one potential area of concern we should be aware of. Seals-Jones was red hot coming into their 2017 matchup having caught three touchdowns over the previous four games. When he faced Washington though, he was held to two reception on his six targets, and put up an uninspiring 11 yards and zero touchdowns.

 

All game log information, and defense against specific position stats courtesy of fftoday.com

All DVOA, vs number one receiver stats, and deep ball statistics courtesy of footballoutsiders.com