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Easy Money: Week 4 DFS Advice

by • September 27, 2018

The seasons’ first quarter is set to wrap up. Now, more than ever before this season, our DFS options are being limited by injuries, and for the first time, bye weeks. Week four will be pivotal in our rest of season analysis on players. The running back position, as expected, has been spearheaded by the likes of Todd Gurley and Alvin Kamara. How about the wide receivers though? Many analysts had Antonio Brown, Odell Beckham Jr., and Julio Jones as their top three wideouts in preseason rankings. Through three weeks, none of them sit in the top ten.

As you sort through the madness of the NFL and make your week four Fanball lineups, here are four names you want to consider adding to your team. Their low cost and favorable outlooks make them some of the best buys as you use your 55,000 salary cap.

Best Value, QB: Baker Mayfield @ Oakland – $5,800 – 11% of Cap

No, this is not an overreaction to the Baker Mayfield show last Thursday. This is about a 5,800 dollar price for a quarterback that presents as much upside as Mayfield does. If you’re counting on a significant week two regression from the rookie, don’t hold your breath. Oakland was a bottom half team in fantasy scoring allowed to quarterbacks a year ago and is so once again so far this season. Overall, they present a much easier test than the Jets defense who Mayfield shredded last week. Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for at least 220 yards in every game, and thrown for multiple touchdowns on two occasions through the first three weeks.

Best Value, RB: Phillip Lindsay vs Kansas City – $5,800 – 11% of Cap

The only person that’s held Phillip Lindsay back in any way this season has been himself. As long as he’s not throwing any more punches on Monday night, he should be a heck of a start vs Kansas City. Hiding behind the storyline of their electric offense is a defense that still has many growing pains, including their immense struggle to handle running backs. The Chiefs rank 31st in fantasy points allowed to tailbacks and have been by far the worst at holding down backs in the passing game, allowing over 100 yards per game. This game should be yet another shootout for a game featuring Kansas City, and Lindsay, among others, should reap serious benefits.

Best Value, WR: Allen Robinson vs Tampa Bay – $7,000 – 13% of Cap

Six receivers have already had either 100 yards or a touchdown against Tampa Bay this season. Allen Robinson is yet to accomplish either feat in 2018, but we can carry a lot of hope that will change on Sunday. The Buccaneers already rank sixth-worst in the league in fantasy points allowed to receivers, which doesn’t surprise us at all, as last year, they were dead last. Through only three games, the Bucs have already given up 56 receptions to wideouts, by far the worst in the league. In Robinson’s one home game as a Bear, Trubisky looked his way all game, as he hauled in 10 passes. We could see more of the same in this matchup.

Best Value, TE: Kyle Rudolph @ Los Angeles (Rams) – $5,400 – 10% of Cap

It’s been far from flashy, but Kyle Rudolph has quietly netted a touchdown or 70 yards in every game this year. Now, he plays a banged up Rams secondary that coming into Thursday Night, ranks 29th in receiving yards and 21st in fantasy scoring allowed to the tight end position. Unfortunately, the Minnesota offense looked downright embarrassing in their 26-7 loss to Buffalo a week ago. But if Kirk Cousins is going to be trying to get the ball out as quickly as possible behind a hurting offensive line, Kyle Rudolph could become one of his primary targets.

 

All game log information, and defense against specific position stats courtesy of fftoday.com

All DVOA, vs number one receiver stats, and deep ball statistics courtesy of footballoutsiders.com

 

Bradley Ylitalo (@BradleyYlitalo) is a freelance contributor for the SportsHub Games Network, Inc., Fanball’s parent company. Any advice or strategies provided by SportsHub contributors represent their personal opinions; they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of SportsHub Games Network and are not necessarily reflective of the strategies they may employ in their own lineups.