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Fanball FAAB – Week 11 Waiver Wire Advice

by • November 13, 2018

Welcome to Fanball FAAB, our weekly analysis of players who may be available on your league’s waiver wire.

Words by Christian Peterson. Rankings and blind bid recommendations by Paul Charchian.

QUARTERBACKS

Dak Prescott, Cowboys

Week 10: 16-22, 262 yards, 3 touchdowns passing
Ownership: 30%
Week 11: at Falcons

Don’t look now, but Prescott has quietly been one of fantasy football’s best quarterbacks over the past month. Dating back to Week 6, he’s been a top-5 performer in most scoring systems, due in large part to the fact that he’s scored 3 rushing touchdowns in his last 4 games. It’s the same kind of production that led to him logging a top-5 fantasy quarterback finish in most scoring systems a year ago, and he’s also picked things up in the passing game. Dak’s three best yardage games (273, 243, and 270) have come in his last three games, and the addition of Amari Cooper seems to have had the desired effect; in Cooper’s two games as a Cowboy, Prescott has completed 70% of his passes – far outpacing his season average of just 64%. Two of Prescott’s next three games have shootout potential as well; Atlanta in Week 11 and New Orleans in Week 13. Oh, and don’t forget matchups with the Colts (Week 15) and Bucs (Week 16) in the fantasy playoffs.  Charch’s Blind Bidding Recommendation: 15%.  In QB-heavy leagues, 30%.

Lamar Jackson, Ravens

Week 10: BYE
Ownership: 7%
Week 11: vs. Bengals

Everything I wrote about Lamar Jackson last week still pertains to this situation, except that a change at quarterback is no longer speculation, it’s almost certain to happen. Since then, it’s been revealed that Joe Flacco spent his bye week on crutches and receiving treatment for a hip injury. For the moment, head coach John Harbaugh is playing his Week 11 plans close to the vest and is refusing to name a starter, but we think it’ll be the first-rounder. The Ravens have lost four of their last five games, and Flacco has been awful during that stretch. Even if it doesn’t happen this week, Jackson is worth a speculative add as the Ravens have an enticing schedule in the fantasy playoffs, with the Chiefs, Bucs, and Chargers on tap in Weeks 14-16.  Rushing quarterbacks have extraordinary value in fantasy leagues, and Jackson could easily post RB2 numbers with his legs. Charch’s Blind Bidding Recommendation: 10%.  In QB-heavy leagues, 20%.

Marcus Mariota, Titans

Week 10: 16-24, 228 yards, 2 touchdowns passing, 2-21 yards rushing
Ownership: 16%
Week 11: BYE

Mariota is quickly putting his early-season (and injury-related) struggles behind him. Mariota has pieced together two consecutive gems in upset wins over the Cowboys and Patriots, completing nearly 70 percent of his passes and accounting for 5 touchdowns (including 1 rushing TD). The Titans stretch run schedule is favorable as well (Colts, Texans, Jets in the next three weeks).  Charch’s Blind Bidding Recommendation: 5%.  In QB-heavy leagues, 15%.

RUNNING BACKS

Rashaad Penny, Seahawks

Week 10: 12-108, 1 touchdown rushing
Ownership: 13%
Week 11: vs. Packers

With Chris Carson inactive last week, Penny finally delivered on what has been, up until this point, a massively disappointing rookie season. Splitting touches with Mike Davis (Davis actually had more touches), Penny looked explosive in amassing over 100 yards and his first NFL touchdown. Unfortunately, it looks like a three-man committee in Seattle, as Davis and Carson will likely continue to be involved, but Penny almost certainly has carved out a more significant role moving forward. Charch’s Blind Bidding Recommendation: 15%.

Jaylen Samuels, Steelers

Week 10: 5-7 rushing, 3-22, 1 touchdown receiving
Ownership: 0%
Week 11: at Jaguars

When James Conner was forced out of last Thursday’s game with a concussion, it was Samuels – not Stevan Ridley – who picked up the slack. Samuels converted one of his 3 receptions into his first NFL touchdown and would be a must-add in the event that Conner misses time. Given the longer timeframe for recovery, the Steelers cautiously expect Conner to get through the concussion protocol in time to play in Week 11. Still, with the news that Le’Veon Bell is unlikely to play for the Steelers this season, Samuels comes into focus as a key handcuff to Conner for the fantasy stretch run. Charch’s Blind Bidding Recommendation: 1%.

Malcolm Brown, Rams
Spencer Ware, Chiefs
Giovani Bernard, Bengals
Rod Smith, Cowboys

Here’s your reminder that there are just two bye weeks remaining, and it’s getting to be time for you to focus on your playoff roster. This means you can cut bait on running backs who aren’t doing you any good in favor of locking in the handcuffs to your top runners… that is, assuming your stud RB1 actually has an obvious backup that isn’t already on someone’s roster. In addition to Samuels, mentioned above, owners of Todd Gurley (Brown), Ezekiel Elliott (Smith), Kareem Hunt (Ware), and Joe Mixon (Bernard) should play it safe and grab their backup now. Charch’s Blind Bidding Recommendation: 1%.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Josh Reynolds, Rams

Week 10: 10-124 receiving on 4 targets
Ownership: 1%
Week 11: vs. Chiefs

Cooper Kupp’s torn ACL is a devastating blow to both the Rams and his fantasy owners. With Kupp out for the season, Reynolds will slide into the slot receiver role for the Rams. Serving that same role during Kupp’s absence in Weeks 7 and 8, Reynolds had one dud (1 catch, 19 yards) and one explosion (3-42, 2 touchdowns). Look for similar inconsistency and upside the rest of the way. Charch’s Blind Bidding Recommendation: 20%.

Anthony Miller, Bears

Week 10: 5-122, 1 touchdown receiving on 11 targets
Ownership: 13%
Week 11: vs. Vikings

Miller tore apart an apathetic Lions secondary in Week 10, amassing career highs in both catches and yards while reeling off two receptions of 45 yards or more. In the meaningless stat category, he has also scored in every-other game that he’s played in since Week 2. This week brings a tough matchup against the Vikings, but Miller has enough talent to flash in the right matchups (such as Week 12 vs. Detroit and Weeks 15 and 16 against Green Bay and San Francisco, respectively). Charch’s Blind Bidding Recommendation: 10%.

Donte Moncrief, Jaguars

Week 10: 3-98, 1 touchdown receiving on 4 targets
Ownership: 15%
Week 11: vs. Steelers

In a revenge game nobody cared about, Moncrief secured an 80-yard touchdown in the midst of his fourth game of at least 76 receiving yards in the last six weeks. That’s decent production, but it’s nearly impossible to tell which version of Blake Bortles will show up in a given week, so it’s a roll of the dice any time you employe one of his pass-catchers. Charch’s Blind Bidding Recommendation: 3%.

John Ross, Bengals

Week 10: 2-39, 1 touchdown receiving on 6 targets
Ownership: 18%
Week 11: at Ravens

With the latest timeline for A.J. Green’s potential return rumored to be as late as December, it’s going to be the Tyler Boyd and John Ross show in Cincinnati for the foreseeable future. Ross still hasn’t caught more than three passes or gone for more than 52 yards in a game all season, but his Week 10 touchdown was his third of the season. The upcoming schedule (Ravens, Broncos, Chargers – all of whom rank in the top half against opposing wideouts) isn’t doing Ross any favors either. Charch’s Blind Bidding Recommendation: 3%.

Brandon LaFell, Raiders

Week 10: 4-47 receiving
Ownership: 1%
Week 11: at Cardinals

LaFell was already effectively serving as the de facto Raiders No. 1 wide receiver, then Martavis Bryant went down with a serious knee injury in Week 10. With Jordy Nelson playing with a fork stuck in his back and Bryant out of the picture, the Raiders have nowhere else to turn. Well, other than tight end Jared Cook. Anyways, in three games sans Amari Cooper, LaFell has lines of 3-39-1, 3-20, and 4-47. If that kind of production looks like it could help your fantasy lineup, you’re already screwed so why not take a chance on LaFell? Charch’s Blind Bidding Recommendation: 1%.

Zay Jones, Bills

Week 10: 8-93-1 receiving on 11 targets
Ownership: 1%
Week 11: BYE

All it took was street free agent Matt Barkley to get the Bills offense moving again. With Barkley at the helm, the Bills racked up 451 yards of total offense in a 41-10 drubbing of the Jets. Barkley looked Jones’ way early and often, result in by far Jones’ best performance of the year. Sadly, the erratic and inconsistent Josh Allen is due back after the Week 11 bye, so there’s not a lot to get excited about here. Don’t buy the Week 10 box score. Charch’s Blind Bidding Recommendation: 1%.

Brandon Marshall, Saints

Week 10: Sofa
Ownership: 1%
Week 11: vs Buccaneers

Let other people bid on the shell of the player formerly known as Brandon Marshall.  He doesn’t have much left in the tank and he’s unlikely to carve out consistent playing time, particularly for the next several weeks while he tries to learn a new playbook.  He’s not as good as Tre’Quon Smith or Austin Carr, who are both ahead of him on the depth chart. Charch’s Blind Bidding Recommendation: 1%.

TIGHT ENDS

Jonnu Smith, Titans

Week 10: 3-45-1 touchdown receiving on 3 targets
Ownership: 1%
Week 11: at Colts

With touchdowns in consecutive games, Smith is carving out a role in the red zone for the Titans. His 3 catches and 45 yards in Week 10 were both season highs, so he’s not very involved outside of the scoring area. The upcoming Week 11 matchup with the Colts gives some streamer appeal – the Colts just let James O’Shaughnessy and Blake Bell combine for 7 catches and 73 yards a week ago. Yes, those are actual names of actual NFL players.  Charch’s Blind Bidding Recommendation: 5%.