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Fanball FAAB – Week 12 Waiver Wire Advice

by and • November 19, 2019

Words by Rob Willette, Scott Fish, and Paul Charchian. Spending recommendations by Paul Charchian.


Baker Mayfield  – Browns – 55% rostered
A summer draft darling who snuck into many Top 5 rankings at quarterback, Baker Mayfield’s sophomore effort has been Bortles-esque.  He’s been erratic, interception-prone, and the scheme and offensive line have done him no favors. Yet here come the Dolphins, like a fresh spring appearing in front of a man lost in the desert, to cure what ails him.  Miami is allowing the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks, a number which may look worse had the Dolphins not spent the first month of the season struggling to stay within two scores through the first quarter.  Simply put, the Dolphins are bereft of talent on defense and make any quarterback a streaming option. Mayfield is coming off perhaps his most efficient stretch of the season, not throwing an interception in his past three games and peppering Odell Beckham Jr. with targets.  His first half of 2019 has likely led many owners to rightfully kick him to the waiver wire, yet he can erase the bad memories at least for one weekend in this smash spot.
Charch Blind Bidding Recommendation: 10%

Jeff Driskel – Lions – 3% rostered
Driskel’s ownership should soar after a monster fantasy day against the Cowboys, one which saw him be a capable passer while continuing to add value with his legs.  Driskel’s now posted consecutive strong efforts – and not in layup matchups – and now gets a slam dunk matchup against a Washington team which really looks interested in nothing other than hitting the offseason as quickly as possible.  Driskel’s rushing ability gives him a stable floor, and he’s shown more acumen as a passer than expected. Matthew Stafford continues to be week-to-week, though it is entirely possible the Lions shut him down if things unravel even further, simply adding to Driskel’s appeal.
Charch Blind Bidding Recommendation: 3%


Jordan Wilkins – Colts- 1% rostered
It is easy to forget it has been Jordan Wilkins who has backed up Marlon Mack for most of the 2019 season.  Mack’s status as the clear bellcow has limited opportunity, but Wilkins has been impressive in a small sample, averaging over 6 yards per carry as Mack’s apprentice.  There are a lot of question marks – namely his health and role given Williams’ emergence, but Wilkins likely comes cheap given people will be showering Williams with FAAB cash like PacMan Jones at the club.  Wilkins the arbitrage play, and could prove thievery if he retains his status as the second runner in this backfield.
Charch Blind Bidding Recommendation: 10%

LeSean McCoy  – Chiefs – 55% rostered
Darrel Williams – Chiefs – 5% rostered

The Chiefs are on bye this week, but if Damien Williams rib injury takes awhile to heal, Darrel Williams and LeSean McCoy could see an expanded role against a Raiders team in Week 13 that is bottom 8 against fantasy running backs. These two saw a near even split in snaps against the Chargers with Darrel seeing two more snaps and two more touches. McCoy gets more work in the passing game, making him the slightly better PPR option.
Charch Blind Bidding Recommendation on McCoy: 5%
Charch Blind Bidding Recommendation on Williams: 2%

Jonathan Williams – Colts – 5% rostered
Marlon Mack’s injury comes at an unfortunate time for fantasy owners, as he was running hot against a Jacksonville defense which hemorrhaged rushing yards all day.  Yet it created a massive opportunity for Jonathan Williams, who stepped in like Lou Gehrig for Wally Pipp and registered 149 total yards on 14 touches, showing impressive burst and balance.  Dynasty owners have known about Williams for a long time; he was a star at Arkansas who always had the goods to contribute. His first extended run at the NFL level shows he has the talent. Mack appears poised to miss at least Thursday’s game, and while the potential return of Jordan Wilkins muddies the backfield, Williams has earned the opportunity to be a factor.  Williams would be the clear the top add if we had clarity on the situations of both Mack and Wilkins, but the best course of action is to add and see what shakes out. The Colts want to run the football and have the Offensive Line to do so; any back earning extensive run has quite a bit of value.
Charch Blind Bidding Recommendation: 5%

Nyheim Hines – Colts – 17% rostered
We’re just all over Colts backs this week.  The uncertainty makes each worthy of an add, though perhaps none have as clear a role as Nyheim Hines: He is this team’s pass-catching back.  Said role has not made him a valuable asset behind Marlon Mack, but the absence of Mack should elevate his ceiling, especially if Jordan Wilkins remains sidelined.  Hines is more of a PPR add, but he is talented enough to shake up this grouping and earn more work.
Charch Blind Bidding Recommendation: 5%

Bo Scarbrough  – Lions – 2% rostered
Tra Carson, Ty Johnson, and J.D. McKissic have all had their turn as waiver wire pickups.  Up next is Bo Scarbrough, the practice squad call-up who was immediately inserted as the Lions’ lead back on early downs.  Scarbrough piled up 55 yards on 14 totes out of nowhere, including a short touchdown, apparently earning the trust of the Lions’ coaching staff out of the chute. Scarbrough was not active as a receiver (zero targets) which severely caps his upside, and this backfield looks like more of a headache than reading a Scott Fish tweet.  Yet you simply cannot run from a potential lead back at this point of the season, even one without a pedigree. Scarbrough makes for a fine start in a bind, and should return immediate value given this week’s matchup with Washington.
Charch Blind Bidding Recommendation: 3%


Mecole Hardman – Chiefs-  33% rostered
With Tyreek Hill departing early Monday night, Mecole Hardman saw his 2nd-highest snap percentage of the season. He plays an average of 70% of the snaps with Hill out. It didn’t result in fantasy points last night but he topped 75 yards and/or scored in three of the four games Hill missed earlier in the season. The only concern is that the Chiefs are on bye this week and Hill may heal up before their next game.
Charch Blind Bidding Recommendation: 5%

N’Keal Harry – Patriots – 12% rostered
N’Keal Harry is back and getting snaps (43% in his first game) and now Phillip Dorsett may miss time due to a head injury sustained in the third quarter of Sunday’s tilt against the Eagles. Should Dorsett miss next week, or multiple weeks, Harry looks to assume a starting role alongside fellow slot receiver Julian Edelman and Muhammed Sanu Sr. This dreaded three slot receiver set  has an easy road ahead against four of the league’s worst ranked pass defenses in Houston, Kansas City, and Cincinnati after they take on Dallas this weekend.
Charch Blind Bidding Recommendation: 5%

Sterling Shepard – Giants – 40% rostered
Shepard fully practiced Monday, which is a great sign for his return. As always, when a guy has multiple concussions in a short period of time, you worry about recurrence which is probably why he is now rostered in just 40% of leagues. When healthy and on the field early in the season, he tallied at least nine targets in each of his three games with Daniel Jones, averaging over 6 catches and over 89 total yards per game in those three weeks. This was before the emergence of Darius Slayton, but that may just open room on the field for Shepard to operate.
Charch Blind Bidding Recommendation: 1%

Russell Gage – Falcons –  3% rostered
The suddenly dominant Atlanta Falcons have had to shuffle up their receiver group following the trade of Mohamed Sanu and injury to Austin Hooper, and the main beneficiary appears to be Russell Gage.  Operating as Jarvis Landry-lite in the Falcons offense, Gage has racked up 18 low leverage targets in the past three weeks. The ceiling is non-existent, but there’s PPR upside here if the Atlanta defense regresses to its pathetic ways from the first 8 weeks.   He’s particularly startable this week against Tampa’s ratty secondary.
Charch Blind Bidding Recommendation: 1%

John Ross – Bengals –  8% rostered
Fantasy playoff contenders need only apply here. John Ross is set to come back in week 14 just in time for fantasy playoffs. He’ll get the Browns, Patriots, and Dolphins. Ross started the season hot with 11 catches, 270 yards, and 3 scores in the first two weeks. He then had a rough game againast a tough Bills team and got injured in Week 4. The red rifle has been holstered. Wait, can you holster a rifle? OK, it’s been put in it’s gun case. In comes Ryan Finley. Finley has yet to throw for over 170 yards and has just one touchdown in two weeks, but it really only takes one play when you run a 4.24 forty like John Ross does. It’s a $1 speculative add, but could pay off if you get in a bind.
Charch Blind Bidding Recommendation: 1%


Ryan Griffin – Jets – 3% rostered
I am always amazed at where the fantasy football season leads us.  Cast off by the Texans in the spring, Griffin found a home with the Jets in the summer and has since built a strong rapport with Sam Darnold.  After a slow start, Griffin has emerged for a team short on weapons, totaling 50 or more yards in 3 of 4 games with 3 touchdowns in that span. For as much as the Jets can, they have turned it on the past two weeks, and have cozy matchups with Oakland and Cincinnati over the next two weeks.  With Travis Kelce and Hunter Henry on bye this week, Griffin is a viable pivot.
Charch Blind Bidding Recommendation: 10%

Cameron Brate – Bucs – 1% rostered
OJ Howard was benched early in last week’s game, and Cameron Brate took the opportunity to exert his prowess to the  tune of 14 targets (!), 10 receptions, and 73 yards. Wowza! Brate made a firm case to remain the starter, and we believe it’ll happen. If Howard is a non-factor going forward, Brate could be an amazing holiday gift going forward.
Charch Blind Bidding Recommendation: 7%

Dallas Goedert – Eagles – 19% rostered
As a unit, the Eagles wide receivers are dead. Alshon Jeffery is broken. Nelson Agholor drops more balls than a hernia specialist. JJ Arcega-Whiteside is raw and under-utilized. Out of necessity, Carson Wentz is throwing to backup tight end Dallas Goedert. He’s scored three times in four games. With Zach Ertz still eating up most of the targets, Goedert will continue to be a low volume, touchdown dependent option. But with the tight end wasteland, he’s a viable dart throw.
Charch Blind Bidding Recommendation: 3%