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Fanball FAAB – Week 15 Waiver Wire Advice

by and • December 10, 2019

Words by Rob Willette, Scott Fish, and Paul Charchian. Spending recommendations by Paul Charchian.


QUARTERBACKS

Eli Manning – Giants – 2% rostered
Improbably, it looks like Eli Manning is going to help quarterback-deficient owners win a playoff game. He faces Miami, which has obvious upside for those owners willing to risk playing him. Manning looked downright spry against the Eagles on Monday night and his chemistry with Darius Slayton is tantalizing in this matchup.  Miami has allowed the second-most touchdowns, including scores in every single game and multiple touchdowns 11 times. He’s potentially playable against the Bengals next week too.
Charch Blind Bidding Recommendation: 20%

Drew Lock – Broncos –  2% rostered
This year, second- and third-string quarterbacks have made a difference in fantasy leagues. Gardnew Minshew, Daniel Jones, Jeff Driskel, David Blough, even the decaying corpse of Matt Schaub. Drew Lock is the next backup to looks like a legit NFL starting quarterback. A once-hyped college prospect who, at one point, people thought would contend to be a top pick in the NFL draft, slid to round two before the Broncos snatched him up. Over the last two weeks, Lock has threaded some needles, made NFL caliber throws, and found his way to five passing touchdowns over his two games and notched his first 300-yard game last week. His remaining schedule: Chiefs, Lions, and for awful people who have awful leagues that play in awful week 17 championships, the Raiders.
Charch Blind Bidding Recommendation: 5%
Dynasty and empire leaguers: 25%


RUNNING BACKS

Raheem Mostert  – 49ers – 51% rostered
Somehow, Mostert is still available in about half of leagues. He’s led the 49ers in touches in back-to-back weeks, scoring three times, and totalling 263 yards in those games. Over the last two games he’s averaging 7.4 yards per carry. Granted, that is a small sample size, but on the season he’s averaging SIX yards per carry.  He even chips in a few receptions in most games. This guy is really good and plays for an offense that can move the ball. He’s aided by a 49ers defense that allows the offense to run the ball late into games. He’s startable against the Falcons and Rams in the fantasy playoffs.
Charch Blind Bidding Recommendation: 100%

DeAndre Washington  – Raiders – 7% rostered
Josh Jacobs was a true game time decision in Week 14, and if he doesn’t suit up for Week 15 against the Jaguars, DeAndre Washington should see extended work in a juicy matchup. Last week without Jacobs, Washington was the bell cow, with 20 touches for 96 yards against a tough Tennessee run defense. More importantly, he caught six of his seven targets. That ability keeps him on the field and gives him a safe floor in PPR leagues. The Jaguars are one of only five teams to allow 2000 total yards to running backs this season so far. They have also allowed the 2nd-most touchdowns to running backs (17 – 14 rushing, 3 receiving).  If Jacobs doesn’t play, Washington is a top-10 fantasy prospect for this week. Even if Jacobs plays, Washington remains a dart throw option due to utter ineptitude of the Jaguars run defense.
Charch Blind Bidding Recommendation: 50%

Adrian Peterson – Redskins – 45% rostered
Derrius Guice is going to miss at least one game, and probably more, leaving the door wide open for Adrian Peterson to continue his quietly effective season. Despite only scoring three times, he’s finished as a top-25 fantasy runner in half his games this year.  He’s scored in each of the past two games. I don’t care for his matchup against a tough Eagles run defense this week, but he’s startable in a pinch. He has better prospects in Week 16 against the Giants.
Charch Blind Bidding Recommendation: 20%

Chris Thompson  – Redskins – 11% rostered
Derrius Guice tore the hearts out of Washington fans and fantasy football fans alike when he went down with another knee injury.  Guice is looking at a minimum one-week absence, but in a lost season for the Redskins, have to assume he is done for the season. While Adrian Peterson benefits most, it also opens up more looks for Chris Thompson, thanks to his abilities as a receiver.  Thompson has limited upside due to a touch ceiling and Washington’s inability to master the forward pass, but he makes for a capable play in a pinch, especially in PPR leagues. He’s got Philadelphia on the schedule this week, and they’ve only allowed one receiving touchdown to runners. Next week’s opponent, New York, hasn’t allowed any.
Charch Blind Bidding Recommendation: 1%

Kerryon Johnson  – Lions – 34% rostered
In a rough week for running back pickups, Kerryon Johnson (eligible to return Week 16 against the Broncos at Mile High) might be an option. He returned to practice last week and nobody has really taken over that run game for the Lions. Kerryon could slide back into his role, which wasn’t amazing for fantasy… but a running back with 15 touch potential in Week 16 should be owned. He’d face Denver, a good defense, but one that has allowed an opposing runner to top 73 yards in three straight games.
Charch Blind Bidding Recommendation: 1%

WIDE RECEIVERS

AJ Brown – Titans – 28% rostered
There appears to be a glitch in the matrix; that’s the only possible explanation for A.J. Brown’s ownership percentage being this low. Since Ryan Tannehill took over, Brown has scored four times in six games, is averaging an insane 23.3 yards per catch and recently had 135 yards or more in two of the last three games. He has become Tannehill’s go-to weapon, and in case you missed it, Tannehill is a top-five quarterback right now. Brown has a favorable matchup with an improving, but still beatable Texans secondary this week.
Charch Blind Bidding Recommendation: 75%

Breshad Perriman – Bucs – 0% rostered
With Mike Evans likely out, the top outside wideout for the Bucs this week will be Breshad Perriman.  The first-round bust has actually been serviceable in back-to-back games, putting up 5-87-0 and 3-70-1.  Perriman is a straight-line speed guy who usually needs a deep connection to be fantasy viable. This week’s opponent, Detroit, has allowed the third-most receptions of 20+ yards.  It appears that Jameis Winston will play through the thumb injury that he suffered on Sunday.
Charch Blind Bidding Recommendation: 5%

Anthony Miller – Bears-  20% rostered
In the movie Dave, an everyman impersonates the president and eventually takes over on a long-term basis following a health issue which has befallen the actual president.  Something similar has happened in Chicago, where an invasion of the bodysnatchers has occurred, with Mitchell Trubisky being the one replaced. This imposter has eviscerated the Lions and Cowboys, leaving an unsuspecting public puzzled as to the cause.  His performance has elevated the entire Chicago offense and nobody has benefitted more than Anthony Miller. Miller has quickly gone from a permanent spot on the waiver wire to potential weekly-starter down the stretch, taking advantage of the mystery man’s presence under center as well as the absence of Taylor Gabriel.  Miller has 37 targets over the past four games and has taken advantage of the volume, securing 24 of them for receptions. Miller is a plausible start in a matchup with Green Bay this week, although he’ll face off against veteran slot cornerback Tramon Williams in a tough matchup.
Charch Blind Bidding Recommendation: 5%

Kendrick Bourne – 49ers –  1% rostered
It’s getting to the point that you want any available piece of the San Francisco offense. Over the last six weeks, Kendrick Bourne has not had more than 42 yards in any game. On the other side, he has scored five touchdowns in that span, making him a touchdown-dependent play. He’ll face the Falcons and Rams in potential shootouts, so more touchdown dances could be coming for Bourne.
Charch Blind Bidding Recommendation: 5%

Justin Watson – Bucs –  0% rostered
“It’s about time” as Scott Fish would say. Justin Watson has been a deep dynasty stash, waiting to get more playing time. Last offseason, the hope was, once Adam Humphries left, he Watson would get a huge uptick in playing time. Unfortunately he struggled and fell down the depth chart. More recently, he’s clawed his way back up. A guy that looks great on paper with his size, metrics, and athleticism… he now might see more starting snaps with Mike Evans missing time or limited. Bruce Arians has already said Mike Evans is “very doubtful” for Week 15 and in relief last week, Watson put up a decent statline catching five of his eight targets for 59 yards and a score. This is an offense that is right at the top of the league in both yards and scoring.
Charch Blind Bidding Recommendation: 1%

Diontae Johnson – Steelers – 12% rostered
Johnson has been a little hit and miss this year. Last week was more of a hit as he dropped 60 yards and a score on the Cardinals. If Juju Smith-Schuster misses more time, Johnson is probably rosterable. If Juju returns as expected for Week 15, he’s probably not worth rostering, especially with a tough matchup against the Bills..
Charch Blind Bidding Recommendation: 1%

John Ross – Bengals – 14% rostered
We’ll forgive you if you’re not glued to Bengals games each Sunday, so you may have missed the return of John Ross.  It was a modest return – 3 targets and 2 grabs for 28 yards – but the offense as a whole has been elevated with Andy Dalton’s return, and Auden Tate left Week 14’s contest with a sprained knee.  We’ve seen Ross pop for big weeks right here in 2019, and while he lacks the stability of target hog Tyler Boyd, Ross can pop at any moment. As the presumed second option in the Cincinnati passing game, Ross has appeal as a deep league streamer. He’s got a brutal matchup this week against an angry Patriots defense, but he’s a great streaming option in Week 16 against the Dolphins.
Charch Blind Bidding Recommendation: 1%

TIGHT ENDS

David Njoku – Browns – 37% rostered
In his first action since coming off IR, David Njoku only caught one pass last week, but it was an opportunity to knock the rust off in time for this week’s delicious play.  Njoku gets the best tight end matchup in the history of all games played with a pigskin when he faces the Cardinals on Sunday. Arizona has allowed a league-worst 13 touchdowns and 981 yards to tight ends. They have also allowed the fourth-most receptions to tight ends.  This season, 10 different tight ends have had double-digit fantasy days against the Cardinals.
Charch Blind Bidding Recommendation: 20%

Hayden Hurst – Ravens – 1% rostered
There’s a coin flip chance that Mark Andrews doesn’t play in Thursday’s game due to his knee injury. The team says that Andrews’ injury is minor, but why risk reinjury, particularly considering the quality of opponent, the Jets, and the team’s depth at the position? Needless to say, Lamar Jackson loves throwing to his tight ends, and if Hayden Hurst is going to get his usual production AND Andrews’ production, he’s sitting on a monster game. The Jets have faced exactly one top-tier tight end, Zach Ertz, and he scored.
Charch Blind Bidding Recommendation: 20%

Noah Fant – Broncos – 28% rostered
For NFL purists (like you, since you’re the kind of person who reads a waiver wire article in Week 15), this time of year is a blast as teams roll out their gifted young players to see what they have.  Case in point, Patrick Mahomes got his first NFL start in Week 17 of 2017 against the Broncos. Speaking of whom, rookie tight end Noah Fant is emerging with four or more targets in 5 of his past 6 games, quickly evolving into one of Denver’s best playmakers.  His production has been sporadic, but few tight ends have the big play ability of Fant and the insertion of Drew Lock under center has elevated this entire offense. Fant is dealing with a foot injury, and you’ll want to double check his status before making a claim on him.
Charch Blind Bidding Recommendation: 1%