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Fanball FAAB – Week 8 Waiver Wire Advice

by • October 23, 2018

Welcome to Fanball FAAB, our weekly analysis of players who may be available on your league’s waiver wire.

Words by Christian Peterson. Rankings and blind bid recommendations by Paul Charchian.

QUARTERBACKS

Mitch Trubisky

Week 7: 26-50, 333 yards, 2 touchdowns passing, 6-81, 1 touchdown rushing
Ownership: 51%
Week 8: vs. Jets

Trubisky finished Week 7 with a bizarre line that included a hail mary completion that nearly tied the score on the last play of the game, completing barely 50 percent of his passes and throwing two second-half interceptions… and ultimately winding up with one of the best fantasy outputs of the week thanks to his continued success on scrambles and broken plays. He’s now rushed for at least 47 yards in each of the last three games while also throwing for over 300 yards in each of them, and tossing 11 touchdowns in the same span. It’s almost never pretty, but you can’t argue with Trubisky’s explosive output.  Charch’s Blind Bidding Recommendation: 25%.  In QB-heavy leagues, 40%.

Dak Prescott, Cowboys

Week 7: 22-35, 273 yards, 1 touchdown passing, 6-33, 1 touchdown rushing
Ownership: 30%
Week 8: bye

Prescott and the Cowboys passing game has been undeniably bad throughout most of the season’s first half, but there are now multiple reasons to hop back on the Prescott bandwagon that 70% of fantasy owners have vacated. First, the obvious; the Cowboys just made a big move by acquiring wide receiver Amari Cooper from the Raiders. Cooper has long been a disappointing fantasy asset, but he gives the Cowboys pathetic receiving corps an immediate boost. On top of Dak’s season-high 273-yard Week 7 performance – in which promising rookie Michael Gallup finally started to deliver on some of his upside – the addition of Cooper comes with a convenient Week 8 bye to get him acclimated to the Cowboys offense. And then there’s the rushing touchdowns Dak has scored in consecutive weeks, a huge aspect of what he brings to the table for fantasy owners. It’s easy to forget that Prescott finished as a top-10 fantasy quarterback in most scoring system a year ago, fueled by his league-leading (tied with Cam Newton) six rushing scores.  Charch’s Blind Bidding Recommendation: 20%.  In QB-heavy leagues, 30%.

Brock Osweiler, Dolphins

Hahahahahahahahaha!!!!

 

RUNNING BACKS

Marlon Mack, Colts

Week 7: 19-126, 1 touchdown rushing, 2-33, 1 touchdown receiving
Ownership: 54%
Week 8: at Raiders

Now entrenched as the Colts workhorse runner after being limited the first six weeks with a hamstring injury, Mack should be owned in far more than today’s half of fantasy leagues. His Week 7 numbers speak for themselves, and Mack has officially put Nyheim Hines and Jordan Wilkins in the rearview mirror. The upcoming schedule isn’t great (the Colts have a bye and face the Jaguars twice in the next six weeks), but it’s not every day you have an opportunity to add a high-volume workhorse runner to your roster mid-season. Charch’s Blind Bidding Recommendation: 30%.

Doug Martin, Raiders

Week 7: bye
Ownership: 17%
Week 8: vs. Colts

It’s come to this. Amari Cooper is gone. Marshawn Lynch is on injured reserve. The Raiders have gone from suck to blow, and there’s no better player to personify the current state of the franchise than Doug Martin, who is nowhere near being an NFL-caliber running back, but he’ll take most of the handoffs from Derek Carr for the rest of the year.  Martin is averaging a robust 3.7 yards per carry this year, which is actually up from the 2.9 YPC average each of his last two seasons. The Raiders offense is a disaster, but Martin is a starting NFL running back, which always has some value.  Charch’s Blind Bidding Recommendation: 10%.

Raheem Mostert, 49ers

Week 7: 7-59 rushing, 4-19 receiving
Ownership: 4%
Week 8: at Cardinals

Mostert impressed for the second straight week, turning just 7 carries into 59 yards filling in for a gimpy Matt Breida in Week 7. Problem is, Alfred Morris re-emerged in Week 7, carrying the ball 9 times for an ineffective 25 yards. It’s very obvious that Morris is the least effective of the 49ers stable of runners, but he can’t be ignored as part of the equation. Breida clearly isn’t healthy and would probably benefit from a week or two off, but we can’t be sure of Mostert’s role even if that does happen, so don’t go crazy with your bid this week. Worth noting; Week 8 opponent Arizona has allowed the most carries, yards, and touchdowns to opposing running backs this season. Charch’s Blind Bidding Recommendation: 5%.

Jalen Richard, Raiders

Week 6: bye
Ownership: 17%
Week 8: vs. Colts

Doug Martin will probably get more of the attention on fantasy waiver wires this week, but Richard is a better bet in PPR leagues. He’s unlikely to suddenly morph into a between-the-tackles worhorse, but Richard has been very effective as a receiving back in blowout Raiders losses this season. That’s a trend that figures to continue, so PPR-leaguers should target Richard much more aggressively than Martin. Charch’s Blind Bidding Recommendation: 5%.

Mike Gillislee, Free Agent (Patriots?)

Ownership: 0%
Week 8: Likely, watching games at Buffalo Wild Wings

As a purely speculative move, you could add Mike Gillislee to your roster and see if doesn’t find his way back to New England now that Sony Michel is on the shelf.  Gillislee was on the Patriots last season, and into this year’s training camp, so he knows the system and the playbook. Charch’s Blind Bidding Recommendation: 1%.

Kenjon Barner, Patriots

Week 7: 10-36 rushing
Ownership: 0%
Week 8: at Bills

Barner was the last man standing in the Patriots backfield after Sony Michel’s knee injury knocked him out of New England’s Week 7 win over the Bears. He uninspiringly gained 36 yards on 10 carries, and is no lock to still be the lead dog in this backfield by mid-week (the Patriots are rumored to be looking for veteran runners – former Patriot Mike Gillislee could be an option). If Michel is forced to miss a game or two, Barner is theoretically a thing… but only if the Patriots don’t sign another run to compete with him for carries. Even if they don’t, odds favor a pass-heavy attack involving James White out of the backfield, so Barner is only an option for the most desperate of fantasy owners. Charch’s Blind Bidding Recommendation: 1%.

 

WIDE RECEIVERS

Courtland Sutton, Broncos

Week 7: 1-28, one touchdown
Ownership: 9%
Week 8: vs. Chiefs

Courtland Sutton has scored in two of the last three weeks, which helps mask his meager volume–he hasn’t topped three catches in any game this year.  The first-round rookie has looked promising enough that talk is swirling that Demaryius Thomas is expendable. While that scenario is unlikely to come to fruition, it’s still a compliment for Sutton. He’s got a juicy matchup with Kansas City on Sunday, making him a plausible bye week fill in this week.  And check out his playoff schedule: San Francisco, Cleveland, Oakland. If you think he’s going to improve over the remaining weeks of the season, he’s a possible helper in the playoffs. Charch’s Blind Bidding Recommendation: 8%.

Danny Amendola, Dolphins

Week 7: 6-84, 1 touchdown receiving on 7 targets
Ownership: 24%
Week 8: vs. Rams

In the category of “sentences you never thought you’d read” comes this: Danny Amendola has been rejuvenated by the insertion of Brock Osweiler at quarterback in Miami. Clearly Osweiler’s favorite target, Amendola has been targeted 18 times in Osweiler’s two games, amassing 14 catches for an Amendola-like 143 yards and 1 touchdown. Alas, since Ryan Tannehill may never play again (literally), I suppose we have to take the Osweiler-to-Amendola connection at least somewhat seriously. May God have mercy on our souls. Charch’s Blind Bidding Recommendation: 5%.

Tyrell Williams, Chargers

Week 7: 4-118, 1 touchdown receiving on 4 targets
Ownership: 8%
Week 8: bye

Williams is finally doing Tyrell Williams things again. In the past two weeks he now has touchdown receptions of 45 yards, 29 yards, and 75 yards. He also has just 8 targets in those two games combined and is 100% reliant on catching a long touchdown pass to amass fantasy stats. The Week 8 bye will suppress Williams’ waiver wire appeal this week, so you’ll have to decide if you have the roster spot to sit on Williams for two weeks until your next roll of the dice in Week 9 vs. Seattle. Feeling lucky? Charch’s Blind Bidding Recommendation: 5%.

Martavis Bryant, Raiders

Week 7: 2-18
Ownership: 2%
Week 8: vs. Colts

Martavis Bryant likely starts in Amari Cooper’s old spot in Oakland.  By now you know the drill on Bryant, he’s a high risk play under the best of circumstances, and the Raiders offense isn’t ideal.  He can still be a downfield menace, and we’ve seen him log some long catches already. With Cooper out, Bryant’s snap count should rise to something similar to Cooper’s 77%.  He’ll be a bye-week dart throw in some circumstances. Charch’s Blind Bidding Recommendation: 3%.

Michael Gallup, Cowboys

Week 7: 3-81, 1 touchdown receiving on 5 targets
Ownership: 9%
Week 8: bye

Gallup has now played at least 80 percent of the Cowboys snaps in two consecutive weeks, and he started to show some of his upside with his first NFL touchdown in Week 7, along with career highs in both catches and yards. He’s a factor in breathing some life into the previously defunct Cowboys passing attack, but it’s fair to wonder what his role will be now that Amari Cooper is in town. It’s possible Cooper’s presence opens up space for Gallup, but it’s equally as possible that Gallup gets buried on the bench behind Cooper and Allen Hurns. Dynasty league owners should perk up, but especially considering the Cowboys are on bye in Week 8, re-draft owners can safely ignore Gallup for now. Charch’s Blind Bidding Recommendation: 3%.

Tajae Sharpe, Titans

Week 7: 7-101 receiving on 9 targets
Ownership: 0%
Week 8: bye

The Titans passing game is an unmitigated disaster, so it should come as no surprise that nobody has any idea from week-to-week who might emerge as Marcus Mariota’s favorite pass-catcher, and the question should be asked whether it even matters. To wit; Sharpe’s Week 7 catches were equal to his totals in the previous four games combined, his targets equal to his total from the prior three games, and his yards nearly equaled his total FOR THE ENTIRE SEASON coming into Week 7. GOD THE TITANS SUCK. PLEASE MAKE IT STOP! Charch’s Blind Bidding Recommendation: 0%.

TIGHT ENDS

Chris Herndon, Jets

Week 7: 4-42, 1 touchdown receiving
Ownership: 1%
Week 8: at Bears

Hat tip to @BTXJ for calling out Herndon as a sleeper tight end option on last week’s KFAN Fantasy Football Weekly show. Herndon managed to find paydirt for the second consecutive week and appears to be turning into a bit of a Sam Darnold favorite with 9 targets over the past two weeks. In a tight end landscape that keeps becoming more and more barren, Herndon’s recent trends make him at least worth taking note of.  Charch’s Blind Bidding Recommendation: 3%.

Michael Roberts, Lions

Week 7: 3-48, 2 touchdowns receiving
Ownership: 0%
Week 8: vs. Seahawks

In case you hadn’t noticed yet, this week’s crop of waiver wire players is catastrophically bad. Michael Roberts is on this list because he scored twice in Week 7. In 17 previous career NFL games, Michael Roberts had 5 receptions for 61 yards and 1 touchdown. Combined. He has a total of just 11 targets in his career. Meanwhile, the tight end the Lions actively didn’t want on their roster after last season (Eric Ebron) leads all tight ends with six touchdowns. Anyways, if roughly zero-to-three catches per game, and probably not a touchdown floats your boat, then Michael Roberts is your man. Up next for Roberts are the Seahawks, who have yet to allow more than 52 yards to an opposing tight end, and who have yielded just 1 tight end touchdown since Week 11 of last year.  Charch’s Blind Bidding Recommendation: 1%.