Charch's Week 3 Quarterback Rankings

HOU @NEOpponent Rank: 7th

Brady delivered in a big way against the Saints struggling defense, tossing up three touchdowns and becoming the first quarterback in Fanball history to hit the coveted six point bonus for throwing for over 400 yards. Things won't be nearly so easy this week against a Houston defense that has been among the stingiest in all of football. The Texans defense has allowed an average of just 198.2 passing yards and 1.2 touchdown passes per game to opposing quarterbacks over its last eight games. Brady remains an elite option playing at home in the Patriots prolific offense, but expectations should be tempered.

OAK @WASOpponent Rank: 25th

Carr and the Raider passing game travel across the country for a Sunday night showdown with Washington and his biggest concern might be finding a PF Changs that’ll be open late enough for the team and Mark Davis to celebrate in after what should be a very welcoming matchup. 30 passing attempts appears to be the magic number against the Washington defense, as 8 of the last 12 who’ve hit that number have surpassed 300 passing yards with 7 of those quarterbacks throwing at least two touchdowns. Over Carr’s last 17 games, he’s averaging 36 attempts, suggesting there are yards and touchdowns to be had. Vegas agrees, as the implied total of 54 is far and away the largest number in Week 3’s slate of games. This matchup just screams shootout and few in the league are more equipped to deal with that than Carr.

ATL @DETOpponent Rank: 13th

Under new OC Steve Sarkisian, Matt Ryan has posted back to back one-touchdown games, something that never happened last year. Meanwhile, Devonta Freman and Tevin Coleman are getting fat at his expense. The Lions secondary looks much improved on paper, but they've faced the aged Carson Palmer and a dysfunctional Giants offense, so they probably aren't as good as their per game averages of 254 yards and one touchdown suggest.

ATL @DETOpponent Rank: 22nd

Stafford brings his league leading six touchdown passes back to Ford Field to take on an Atlanta defense that is fresh off abusing Aaron Rodgers on Sunday night. Vic Beasley and company could pose a problem for Detroit, as newly inserted left tackle Greg Robinson struggled in pass blocking situations throughout the Lions 24-10 win over the Giants. This has the makings of a high scoring matchup though, and Stafford's number of pass attempts should trend a lot closer to his week one total (44) than his week two stroll through the Meadowlands (21).

CIN @GBOpponent Rank: 12th

Rodgers is a fantasy player who never gets benched and rightly so. But, at home against an 0-2 team? Not a chance. However, owners may need to temper some of their enthusiasm because of so many injury questions surrounding his offense. They finished Sunday night without both their starting tackles, Jordy Nelson (quad) and Randall Cobb (shoulder). What may surprise some fantasy owners is that, through two weeks, the Bengals have only allowed 245 yards passing and one passing touchdown. That is due primarily to allowing opponents to run 77 times for 325 yards and two TDs - bad college numbers. Don't expect the Packers to change what they do, but when a defense can be run over, Green Bay may stick to that theory, especially with banged up wide receivers and O-linemen and the need to play two games in five days (Chicago-Green Bay is the Thursday game in Week 4). If Green Bay gets a lead, they may milk the clock for self-preservation reasons, which could impact A-Rog's overall numbers.

NO @CAROpponent Rank: 7th

Brees hasn't fared well at Bank of America Stadium, averaging 1.25 touchdowns in his last four visits. Worse yet, the rebuilt Panthers secondary has allowed a paltry 159 passing yards per game and zero touchdowns. The last time Brees tossed 3+ touchdowns in Carolina was 10 years ago and the Vegas implied total for the Saints is only 21 points. For better or worse, the Saints offense has struggled to run the ball, and New Orleans's dreadful defense dictates that Brees will always have volume.

KC @LACOpponent Rank: 24th

Rivers is off to a strong start in his new home with a three-TD effort against the stingy Broncos and 331 yards against Miami. The Chiefs have proven to be a more difficult solve for him, however; he hasn't posted a 300-yard game against them since Week 12 of 2013 and his two-TD showing in the 2016 regular season finale was his first multiple-touchdown outing against KC in their last five meetings. The Chiefs' secondary has been schizophrenic thus far, smothering Tom Brady but carved up by Carson Wentz. With his full cache of offensive weapons healthy for the moment and KC's secondary still smarting from the loss of safety Eric Berry, Rivers should be queued up for one of his stronger outings against his old rivals in red.

NO @CAROpponent Rank: 32nd

This is a get right game for Cam Newton. He is averaging under 200 yards per game on the season and has just two touchdowns. The Saints have given up 1300 yards and 42 touchdowns in the last two games. OK, so that's not true, but it feels like it. The Saints have allowed five 300 yard passers in their last seven games and have given up a mind boggling 19 passing touchdowns in their last eight. If Newton can't get right against New Orleans, it's time to worry.

TB @MINOpponent Rank: 18th

Jameis Winston has now scored in 32 of his 33 career NFL games. He is not without mistakes as he has also thrown 33 interceptions since the start of the 2015 season. Only Blake Bortles and Philip Rivers have thrown more interceptions, but have played in one more game. His opponent, the Vikings, has only allowed one 300 yard passer in their last 18 games and that was Aaron Rodgers. The bright spot for Winston, the Vikings aren't ball hawks with only two interceptions in their last eight games.

PIT @CHIOpponent Rank: 17th

Roethlisberger (seasonal average: 253 yards passing, 2 TDs) should have his full complement of playmakers this week, while taking on a Bears defense which currently ranks 23rd against the pass. That's the good news. On the down side, of his last four outdoor road games on grass, Big Ben owns pedestrian averages of 224 yards passing and 0.8 touchdowns.

DAL @ARIOpponent Rank: 22nd

Through 2 weeks of the NFL season, Palmer looks terrible. He has four interceptions. That said, he is averaging 300 yards and a touchdown per game. This week he faces a Dallas team, at home, that just got carved up by Trevor Siemien for four scores. Palmer looks terrible and his arm seems dead with his 54% completion percentage, but if he continues throwing the ball 35+ times per game, his volume can get you points.

MIA @NYJOpponent Rank: 29th

It wasn't a huge Dolphins debut for Cutler, but 230 yards and a touchdown wasn't a bad start (especially considering he didn't turn the ball over). Cutler was a bit conservative in averaging 7.0 yards per attempt (and Devante Parker saved an interception), but the lack of carelessness was a good sign. Cutler gets a nice Week 3 matchup against the Jets, who are currently allowing 227 yards and 2.5 touchdowns per game to opposing quarterbacks. While it's hard to trust Cutler, his Week 2 performance, reasonable salary, and juicy matchup make him an interesting Week 3 start.

SEA @TENOpponent Rank: 9th

Mariota hasn’t accounted for multiple touchdowns in a game since Week 12 of last year, and he hasn’t topped 260 passing yards since Week 11. Sure feels like that streak of futility will extend against a Seattle defense that, dating back to Week 13 of last season, has held quarterbacks not named Aaron Rodgers to an average of 189 passing yards per game and three total touchdowns. It’s been 10 games since the Seahawks allowed a quarterback rushing score, so don’t expect to be bailed out via that route either.

DEN @BUFOpponent Rank: 12th

If you asked any random football fan to predict who would be leading the NFL in passing touchdowns after two weeks, there might be one who’d have predicted that quarterback would be Trevor Siemian. And immediately your next question would be, what dispensary did you just leave and which strain of glaucoma medicine did you self-prescribe. And yet, here we are, existing in a world where Siemian is the name at the top of that list. The offensive line play has dramatically improved in 2017 along with the addition of Tebow-whisperer Mike McCoy coordinating the offense. Week 3 may be where that all changes, however, as the Bronco quarterback draws his stiffest test to date. The Bills have yet to allow a passing touchdown through two weeks despite facing the 9th most passes and have a (according to PFF) top-10 corner in Tre’Davious White and the #2 rated safety in Jordan Poyer. Siemian will also play his first game without injured starting left tackle Garett Bolles in a raucous atmosphere where cohesive offensive line play will be paramount. There are safer options out there.

OAK @WASOpponent Rank: 23rd

Cousins might have the easy annual capacity for 4,500 yards passing and 27 touchdowns, but there's also a troubling to trend to consider in the short term: Citing his last five games, Cousins has accounted for only two rushing scores and four touchdown passes, for a pedestrian average of 1.2 TDs per outing. His Week 3 opponent, the Raiders, currently boast the NFL's 12th-ranked defense against the pass (211 yards per game); plus, Oakland has allowed only two passing touchdowns this season.

NYG @PHIOpponent Rank: 16th

Wentz has enjoyed a rock-solid start to the season, accounting for 300-plus passing yards and two touchdowns for both outings. Things should be a little tougher this week against the Giants--currently the NFL's No. 8 pass defense--who have held opposing quarterbacks to pedestrian averages of 195 yards passing and 1.5 touchdowns on the season. Those numbers run similar to Wentz's production against New York as a rookie, averaging 258 yards passing ... but only 0.5 touchdowns.

SEA @TENOpponent Rank: 20th

Rumor has it the reason the Seattle skies “cried” so much on Sunday because all those clouds had gathered to watch the Seahawks open the 2017 season and once they got one look at the product on the field, they broke down. Which is kind of heartbreaking if you think about it. No region of the US cares more about the environment and yet, they still can’t help but bring the tears to eyes of the world they’re trying so hard to protect. See what you’ve done Wilson, you’ve made the Earth cry with your abysmal play. And if it’s not the clouds crying, it’s anyone who trusted the new look Wilson to be different this time around. ‘Different’ just isn’t this team’s M.O., however. Since the start of the 2015 season, Wilson’s had just two games with more than one touchdown pass in the first eight weeks of the season (covering 17 games). Don’t expect things to get easier in Week 3 either, as the new look Titan pass defense has allowed just three passing touchdowns in two weeks, with the high-powered, and anti-Seattle, Oakland offense accounting for two of them. Wilson’s always prone to make things happen with his legs, but at that point he becomes no better than a Tyrod Taylor or Deshaun Watson, neither of which are necessarily attractive options barring an ideal matchup. We all know Wilson’s talented, but this offense in its current state makes him no better than the aforementioned desperate streaming options.

KC @LACOpponent Rank: 23rd

Smith feasted on the Chargers last year, throwing for a combined 627 yards and four TDs and adding two rushing scores in the season series—far and away his two biggest fantasy efforts of the season. The Chargers have changed up their scheme since last season, but the 230 Jay Cutler posted on them last week is the most they’ve surrendered over their last five non-Alex Smith games. With LA likely missing stud cornerback Jason Verrett again this week there is certainly upside to Smith’s fantasy potential; just keep in mind that last week’s 251 and one more closely resembles his typical stat line than his season-opening 368 and four against the Patriots.

DAL @ARIOpponent Rank: 29th

Prescott looks to rebound in Week 3 facing a talented Arizona secondary that has already yielded four touchdown passes in 2017. The Cardinals have also allowed 18 rushing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks and Prescott himself accounts for 24 yards on the ground, so there's an increased likelihood that we'll see Dallas find a way to exploit this defense. Prescott is a solid Week 3 value play.

NYG @PHIOpponent Rank: 17th

Manning has had that deer-in-the-headlights look this season in both his meetings with Dallas and Detroit - both of whom humbled Manning and the Giants offense. He has thrown just one touchdown and for 459 yards, despite completing a high percentage of his passes. He has been sacked eight times due to an offensive line that has been overrun and overmatched in each of the first two games. While he has a strong recent history against the Eagles - 613 yards and five touchdowns in two games last year - the Eagles have allowed just two touchdown passes in the first two games and have hounded opposing quarterbacks for eight sacks. Manning has the penchant for huge games, but, at the current time, the Giants don't appear as though they can accomplish anything offensively and heading into Philadelphia isn't typically a recipe for turning around bad offensive stretches.

LAR @SFOpponent Rank: 16th

Jared Goff followed up his 306 yard effort in week 1 with a 224 yard dud against his coach's former team. This week he takes on a team that held him to just 90 yards last year and has held both Russell Wilson and under 200 yards in each of the first two weeks this season. Goff will almost assuredly outproduce his effort from last year, but expectations shouldn't be for a breakout game.

CLE @INDOpponent Rank: 23rd

Fantasy owners have wisely kept their Year 1 expectations for Kizer in check, given how he's the league's youngest starting quarterback ... for perhaps the NFL's most porous franchise of the last 20 years. In his first two starts, Kizer produced so-so averages of 202 yards passing, one touchdown and two interceptions--against a pair of top-notch defenses. Moving forward, there's a sunnier outlook for Week 3 against the Colts, who currently rank 30th in points allowed and 29th in passing yards allowed. Of course, Kizer will be without the services of Corey Coleman this week, thus putting more pressure on the Browns' playmaking lot of running backs Isaiah Crowell, Duke Johnson and receivers Rashard Higgins, Kenny Britt and Sammie Coates.

CLE @INDOpponent Rank: 20th

Brissett fared better than a woefully-ineffective Scott Tolzien did in Week 1 and should maintain the starting gig while Andrew Luck remains sidelined. Brissett could have some success facing the Browns in Week 3, but his value is limited to daily players looking to load up on other positions by going as cheap as possible at QB.

CIN @GBOpponent Rank: 7th

Perhaps you've heard about the 2017 Bengals' ignominious standing ... as the only team of the Super Bowl era to produce zero touchdowns when starting the season with back-to-back home tilts? And before you ask, the 1976 Buccaneers scored just nine points in their first three games as an expansion franchise; however, the club wasn't home for Week 1. Semantics, for sure, but it still doesn't absolve the Bengals from their pathetic start to a once-optimistic preseason. A large portion of the blame goes to Dalton and his per-game averages of 197 yards passing, zero touchdowns (duh), two interceptions and only five receiving connections with A.J. Green. For Week 3, Dalton might not be an automatic bounce-back candidate against the Packers, who have allowed just one passing TD for the season.

HOU @NEOpponent Rank: 31st

Rookie quarterbacks are 5-15 against Bill Belichick and 0-8 at New England. While Watson has, predictably, been very limited as a passer, New England has hemorrhaged fantasy points on the ground, which fits well with Bill O'Brien's conservative offense. A solid rushing attack featuring some zone-read runs from Watson could set the Texans up to try to control the clock and let Watson take some chances down the field, where Houston is hoping to have Will Fuller back.