I’m tremendously excited about the group of players we have here in this week’s edition. Not only will each of them be able to put up big points this week, but they’ll be doing it while using extremely low percentages of your cap. If you were to use all four players on this list in your lineup, it would amazingly, only take up 35% of your $55,000. Leaving you, with plenty of money to pay for the Patrick Mahomes, Todd Gurley’s, or Adam Thielen’s of the world.
Best Value, QB: Mitchell Trubisky vs New York Jets – $5,800 – 11% of Cap
Mitchell Trubisky is just a different animal at home. In three games so far this season, his per game passing averages come out to 295 yards, and 3.3 touchdowns. Even on the run, Trubisky has been dominant, averaging 53 yards and .3 scores. He has tossed four interceptions at Soldier Field, but that’s a minor price to pay for the bonkers totals he’s putting up. Over the Jets, last four games, New York has been unable to offer any resistance to opposing quarterbacks, as they’ve let up 327 yards and 2.5 touchdowns per game. Their 10 interceptions rank fourth in the league, offering us our only reason for worry in this matchup.
Best Value, RB: Kenjon Barner @ Buffalo Bills – $3,400 – 6% of Cap
With Sony Michel out, for the time being, James White will be even more prominent, but Kenjon Barner, being the only other back on the roster, is perhaps the greatest beneficiary. Michel left early in the second quarter, which gave us a great chance to see how Barner would fit in with his new role. The results were encouraging. Although Barner’s 3.6 yards per carry weren’t ideal, his ten carries paint a hopeful picture for his usage on Monday Night. Buffalo sits in the bottom ten of fantasy points allowed to running backs, and have given up an average of 123 rushing yards to opposing backfields over their past four games.
Best Value, WR: Taylor Gabriel vs New York Jets – $5,200 – 9% of Cap
I swear. I don’t hate the Jets. But both Mitchell Trubisky and Taylor Gabriel are incredibly promising in this matchup. New York has allowed the most receptions, sixth most yards, and tied for ninth most touchdowns per game to opposing wideouts this season. The Jets have surrendered two touchdowns to wide receivers in each of their last three games, and in that same span, have allowed two receivers to get to 100 yards, and another three to reach the fifty-yard marker. Even worse, in their three road games on the season, an astonishing four receivers have gone for 100 yards. Taylor Gabriel is averaging five receptions, 80 yards, and .7 touchdowns over his last three contests.
Best Value, TE: C.J. Uzomah vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers – $4,800 – 9% of Cap
Tampa Bay is just terrible against tight ends. There’s no way to sugar-coat their numbers. They’ve allowed the most yards, fourth-most receptions, and second most touchdowns to opposing tight ends. As you can imagine, they rank dead last in fantasy points allowed to tight ends per game. Now, in three straight contests, the Buccaneers have let up a touchdown to a tight end, and since week one, they’re allowing 96 yards per game to the position. In his last six games, C.J. Uzomah has two games with a touchdown and another three games with forty yards or more. In the last three weeks, he’s averaging a solid 3.3 receptions per game.
All game log information, and defense against specific position stats courtesy of fftoday.com
All DVOA statistics courtesy of footballoutsiders.com
Bradley Ylitalo (@BradleyYlitalo) is a freelance contributor for the SportsHub Games Network, Inc., Fanball’s parent company. Any advice or strategies provided by SportsHub contributors represent their personal opinions; they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of SportsHub Games Network and are not necessarily reflective of the strategies they may employ in their own lineups.
Here are a couple things to note about this PDF you are about to download and compliment me on… Christian Peterson and I devised this trade value chart in 2014 to help you gauge whether or not your Empire League trades were fair and just. We try to do a good job of considering values of players 3-4 years down the road while maintaining the thought that winning this year and next isn’t all that bad either.
You are also going to see quarterbacks Jimmy Garoppolo, Deshuan Watson, and Carson Wentz ranked far higher than a guy like Tom Brady. It’s not that we don’t like Brady, but his value in 3-4 years is probably closer to zero than it is that of a top 10 QB (as he’ll be 43 and living on an island full of Victoria’s Secret models).
A few notes on how to use this.
- Two or three for one trades are not easy to complete in a regular fantasy league, and trading two guys with a value of 50 (like Devonta Freeman and Russell Wilson) for a guy with a value of 100 (like Mike Evans) may work in theory, but I would recommend trying to make the quantity of players on each side of a deal even. Trade one player for one, or two players for two.
- Draft picks are a great sweetener in trades, and you should value them correctly. Prior to your rookie draft, take a look at what may be available for you in your 2018 draft at each slot. Apply names to picks, see how that makes you feel.