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Easy Money: Week 4 DFS Advice

The seasons’ first quarter is set to wrap up. Now, more than ever before this season, our DFS options are being limited by injuries, and for the first time, bye weeks. Week four will be pivotal in our rest of season analysis on players. The running back position, as expected, has been spearheaded by the likes of Todd Gurley and Alvin Kamara. How about the wide receivers though? Many analysts had Antonio Brown, Odell Beckham Jr., and Julio Jones as their top three wideouts in preseason rankings. Through three weeks, none of them sit in the top ten.

As you sort through the madness of the NFL and make your week four Fanball lineups, here are four names you want to consider adding to your team. Their low cost and favorable outlooks make them some of the best buys as you use your 55,000 salary cap.

Best Value, QB: Baker Mayfield @ Oakland – $5,800 – 11% of Cap

No, this is not an overreaction to the Baker Mayfield show last Thursday. This is about a 5,800 dollar price for a quarterback that presents as much upside as Mayfield does. If you’re counting on a significant week two regression from the rookie, don’t hold your breath. Oakland was a bottom half team in fantasy scoring allowed to quarterbacks a year ago and is so once again so far this season. Overall, they present a much easier test than the Jets defense who Mayfield shredded last week. Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for at least 220 yards in every game, and thrown for multiple touchdowns on two occasions through the first three weeks.

Best Value, RB: Phillip Lindsay vs Kansas City – $5,800 – 11% of Cap

The only person that’s held Phillip Lindsay back in any way this season has been himself. As long as he’s not throwing any more punches on Monday night, he should be a heck of a start vs Kansas City. Hiding behind the storyline of their electric offense is a defense that still has many growing pains, including their immense struggle to handle running backs. The Chiefs rank 31st in fantasy points allowed to tailbacks and have been by far the worst at holding down backs in the passing game, allowing over 100 yards per game. This game should be yet another shootout for a game featuring Kansas City, and Lindsay, among others, should reap serious benefits.

Best Value, WR: Allen Robinson vs Tampa Bay – $7,000 – 13% of Cap

Six receivers have already had either 100 yards or a touchdown against Tampa Bay this season. Allen Robinson is yet to accomplish either feat in 2018, but we can carry a lot of hope that will change on Sunday. The Buccaneers already rank sixth-worst in the league in fantasy points allowed to receivers, which doesn’t surprise us at all, as last year, they were dead last. Through only three games, the Bucs have already given up 56 receptions to wideouts, by far the worst in the league. In Robinson’s one home game as a Bear, Trubisky looked his way all game, as he hauled in 10 passes. We could see more of the same in this matchup.

Best Value, TE: Kyle Rudolph @ Los Angeles (Rams) – $5,400 – 10% of Cap

It’s been far from flashy, but Kyle Rudolph has quietly netted a touchdown or 70 yards in every game this year. Now, he plays a banged up Rams secondary that coming into Thursday Night, ranks 29th in receiving yards and 21st in fantasy scoring allowed to the tight end position. Unfortunately, the Minnesota offense looked downright embarrassing in their 26-7 loss to Buffalo a week ago. But if Kirk Cousins is going to be trying to get the ball out as quickly as possible behind a hurting offensive line, Kyle Rudolph could become one of his primary targets.

 

All game log information, and defense against specific position stats courtesy of fftoday.com

All DVOA, vs number one receiver stats, and deep ball statistics courtesy of footballoutsiders.com

 

Bradley Ylitalo (@BradleyYlitalo) is a freelance contributor for the SportsHub Games Network, Inc., Fanball’s parent company. Any advice or strategies provided by SportsHub contributors represent their personal opinions; they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of SportsHub Games Network and are not necessarily reflective of the strategies they may employ in their own lineups.

Week 4 QB Sleepers and Landmines

Each week, as we prepare to make some difficult lineup decisions, our team, which includes Rob Willette, Ryan McDowell, and Sal Leto, will bring you a few sleepers and landmines for each position. Our sleeper picks could be on your waiver wire or a low-priced DFS target or could simply be going overlooked this week. On the other hand, our landmine players are getting attention, too much attention. These are players we feel are being overvalued and overpriced and would avoid for this week.

SLEEPERS

Andrew Luck $6,800

It still feels odd to call Luck a sleeper, but after two games as QB20 or worse and a league-low aDot, that’s the reality. This week, Luck gets the Texans defense in the dome in Indy. Houston’s defense has already lost key contributors to injury and has struggled through the opening of the year, still looking for their first win. – Ryan McDowell

Eli Manning $6,500

No team has been more generous to quarterbacks than the Saints through 3 games. In fact that includes a game against the now benched Tyrod Taylor. In the other two facing down field throwers they have given up 791 pass yards, Nine passing touchdowns and zero interceptions. The Giants made some changes on the offensive line a week ago and allowed Eli time to complete 86% of his passes for just under 300 yards and two TDs. You’ll see the Giants pound the targets OBJ’s direction this week as he tries to prove he’s the alpha wide receiver over Michael Thomas on the field Sunday. I expect the O/U number of 50 to climb as we head towards game time. – Sal Leto

Joe Flacco $5,900

It has been years since Flacco has been a viable streamer, even in the tastiest of matchups. Be it the drafting of Lamar Jackson or just better health than the past few years, Flacco has looked reborn in Baltimore. He’s armed with arguably the best weapons of his career an his 6.89 yards per attempt is the highest number he has posted since his strong 2014 campaign. Perhaps most importantly, the Ravens league the lead in offensive plays run per game and and play at the league’s second-fastest place with a play every 24.08 seconds, per Football Outsiders. Offensive pace is a rising tide which lifts all boats. The Steelers have offered little resistance against Patrick Mahomes and Ryan Fitzpatrick this past two weeks and this game has shootout potential in primetime. Flacco makes for a strong play under the bright lights of Sunday Night Football. – Rob Willette

LANDMINES

Ryan Fitzpatrick $6,700

If he thought the Steelers defense was tough…A week after throwing for 400 yards for the third consecutive game, becoming the first player in NFL history to accomplish this, Ryan Fitzpatrick faces the Bears staunch defense. Not only has the Chicago defense been creating turnovers (third in interception rate) and limiting the overall pace of the game. The Bears are top five in the league in yards allowed per game and lead the league in sack ratio, tackling the QB on over 14% of dropbacks. – Ryan McDowell

Jared Goff $7,600

No team has looked more in sync overall than the Los Angeles Rams. They welcome in a Vikings team that’s sure to be well rested seeing as they never really showed up on Sunday. Even in that game they held the passer to under 200 yards and one touchdown, in fact they have held all QBs to one passing touchdown in each game this year. Where they got hurt last week was letting Allen get loose for two rushing TDs, not Goff’s forte. With over 400 total yards to running backs this year you can expect the Rams to rely heavy on Gurley’s legs and not as much Goff’s arm. – Sal Leto

Matthew Stafford $7,400

Stafford has rebounded from an abysmal opener against the Jets, but Sunday is not a great spot for him as he travels to Dallas. The Cowboys play at a snail’s pace, despite the fact their keepaway tactics have not been effective since 2016. Stafford should remain efficient in this game and has the weapons to post big numbers most weeks, but with an emerging running game and volume question marks, Week 4 figures to be a pedestrian one. – Rob Willette

 

Sal Leto (@LetoSal), Ryan McDowell (@RyanMc23), and Rob Willette (@RobWillette24) are freelance contributors for the SportsHub Games Network, Inc., Fanball’s parent company. Any advice or strategies provided by SportsHub contributors represent their personal opinions; they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of SportsHub Games Network and are not necessarily reflective of the strategies they may employ in their own lineups.