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Week 1 Charch Chase Secret Decoder Ring

by • September 2, 2018

The Charch Chase Championship is back again for 2018. Each week of the NFL season, Fanball will be offering a FREE entry to the Charch Chase, in which you can win weekly prizes and earn tickets to the season-ending Charch Chase Championship (ChaChaCha), which features a $15,000 prize pool and $5,000 to the overall winner.

Join the Week 1 Charch Chase challenge now for your shot at $3,000 in total prizes – including $500 to the winner, all for FREE.

Below are some details about this weekly contest, and then an educated guess that attempts to reveal Charch’s lineup for this week. With that knowledge in tow, it will not be difficult for you to beat Charch this week and start earning tickets to the lucrative end-of-season ChaChaCha.

How do I win a ticket?

Simple, by beating Charch! Just build a lineup of players that fit under the $55,000 salary cap. If your lineup scores more points than Paul Charchian’s lineup that week, you win a ticket to the Week 17 Charch Chase Championship. You can earn as many as 16 tickets by playing each week (and beating Charch each week). You’ll also be eligible for weekly prizes.

Keep an eye on Fanball.com and follow Fanball on Twitter for your opportunity to enter each week’s contest.

How do I beat Charch?

It won’t be easy, but we’ll reveal part of Charch’s lineup each week to give you an advantage, and you can tune in to Fanball.com for loads of valuable lineup-setting advice every week as well.

Charch’s Week 1 lineup

Charch is going to battle with Blake Bortles in Week 1. You can do better. (Getty Images)

We’ve already revealed four players from Charch’s Week 1 lineup (note that Charch reserves the right to swap out players before lineup lock in case of injury): QB Blake Bortles ($5,900), RB Dion Lewis ($6,000), RB Rex Burkhead ($6,300) and TE Rob Gronkowski ($7,800).

Charch clearly likes the Patriots’ Week 1 matchup at home against the Texans, which isn’t much of a surprise considering it has the second-highest total on the board in Vegas in Week 1 (a clear indication the experts think there will be a lot of points scored). With rookie Sony Michel likely to miss Week 1 with an injury, Burkhead figures to have most of the handoffs to himself and is the probable goal line option as well. And Gronk is Gronk.

The Lewis pick is interesting – he’s in a timeshare with Derrick Henry, but will be actively involved as a receiver out of the backfield against a Dolphins defense that allowed the 4th-most receptions to running backs a year ago.

Charch then went bargain shopping at quarterback, choosing Bortles at just $5,900 in a matchup against last year’s worst passing defense. The Giants yielded an NFL-high 32 passing touchdowns a year ago and allowed five 300+ yard passing games and surrendered at least 3 passing touchdowns six separate times.

Decoding the rest of Charch’s lineup

You won’t see the rest of Charch’s lineup until Sunday’s Week 1 games kick off, but here’s some pure speculation on my part (seriously, I have no idea what his actual lineup is, these are just educated guesses. But I do know Charch like the back of my hand so this is probably what he’s thinking. Or not. I honestly have no idea.):

  • He’s already spent $26,000 of his $55,000 cap. That leaves $29,000 for 5 players – an average of $5,800 per player.
  • If you assume he spends no more than $4,000 on a defense (actually, let’s give him his beloved Vikings for $4,200), that bumps his average up for the final four roster spots to $6,200.
  • We know he likes Bortles, so it would be a reasonable strategy to grab at least one of his WRs in the same game (this is DFS 101-level strategy). Problem is, the Jacksonville receiving situation is murky, at best. Nevertheless, Keelan Cole ($4,700) and Donte Moncrief ($4,300) would save even more salary for Charch’s final three players (up to an average of $6,700 per spot, assuming he starts Cole at $4,700).
  • We know from his cheat sheet that Charch LOVES Bucs RB Peyton Barber. Barber is just $5,000 in a potentially high-scoring matchup with the Saints (and will likely be a very popular play across the board). He’s in.
  • Based on my best guess, Charch now has an average of $7,650 to spend on his final two players – with a Flex spot and his WR/TE spot left to fill.
  • I’m giving him Alex Collins ($7,000) at RB… Collins is Charch’s RB14 for the season, and the Ravens have one of the tastiest Week 1 matchups on the board against the Bills, who allowed the most rushing yards and touchdowns to running backs in 2018.
  • That leaves Charch with $8,100 to play with for his final spot. Odell Beckham, Charch’s WR3 in season-long leagues, happens to be exactly $8,100 in Week 1. His price is depressed because of a very difficult matchup with the Jaguars, who allowed the fewest yards and the second-fewest touchdowns to opposing wide receivers a year ago. Can Beckham find any room to run against elite CB Jalen Ramsey? Doubtful, and I think Charch would agree. That brings us to a trio of similarly-priced WRs like Stefon Diggs ($8,000), T.Y. Hilton ($7,800) and Adam Thielen ($7,800). The two Vikings seem like obvious plays, but Charch knows that you know that he’s a huge Vikings rube too… or is he trying to make you think that he won’t play a Viking because that’s too obvious? Does HE know that YOU know that HE knows that YOU know he’s a Vikings fan? What devious plan does Charch have up his sleeve? Personally, I think he’s already deeply invested in the Vikings on a personal level, and he’s got Hilton ranked above both Diggs and Thielen in his season-long rankings… so Hilton it is!

So now that you know four of Charch’s players for certain, and a reasonable guess as to the rest of the roster, you can easily go out and beat him. Use the articles and rankings on Fanball.com, listen to our podcasts (especially our Friday DFS lineup-setting extravaganza), and use your own brain to outwit and outscore the magnificent Paul Charchian. Then, tell him about it on Twitter next week after you beat his ass.