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Week 1 Quarterback Values and Fades

by • September 6, 2018

Values at Quarterback

Cam Newton – QB – $7,800 – CAR vs DAL

The last time we saw Cam in a meaningful game he was throwing for 349 yards, 2 touchdowns, and rushing for another 37 yards in Carolina’s playoff loss to New Orleans. If Cam can put up those numbers vs New Orleans, then surely he can do it against Dallas. The Saints were the fifth-best defense in passing touchdowns allowed with only 17, while also intercepting opposing passers 15 times, seventh most. The Cowboys on the other hand allowed the third-most passing touchdowns and picked off opposing quarterbacks just 10 times, ninth worst in the league. There’s a false perception that Cam doesn’t rack up fantasy points on the ground the way he once did, but his final numbers speak for themselves. Among quarterbacks Cam finished the season 1st in rushing attempts, 1st in rushing yards, and 1st in rushing touchdowns. Newton also finished strong with 11 or more rushing attempts and 52 or more rushing yards in each of his final four regular season matchups. Cam provides the perfect mix of high upside with his arm and a high floor with his legs.

Andy Dalton – QB – $6,400 – CIN @ IND

Marvin Lewis stressed the importance slinging it deep, saying two years ago they had the best deep threat combination in Dalton to Green and had to get back to being that deep threat. The Red Rifle starts long-range shooting with a fantastic opportunity against Indy this week. The Colts surrendered the third-most points, the third-most yards, the fifth-most passing yards, and ranked dead last in net yards gained per pass attempt (passing yards minus sack yards) / (passes attempted plus times sacked). Dalton has played well against the Colts, throwing for six touchdowns and rushing for another in four career starts. His Fanball salary is 22nd among quarterbacks, no way 21 passers finish week one with more Fanball points than Dalton.

Sam Darnold – QB – $5,100 – NYJ @ DET

If you’re feeling frisky, then take a leap of faith with Gang Green’s rookie quarterback. He looked good in pre-season for what it’s worth, completing 64 percent of his passes and averaging 8.4 yards per completion. At his price point Darnold needs a mere 15 Fanball points to reach three times his salary. Darnold could reach that goal with 175 passing yards and two passing touchdowns, just to give you an example. Rookie quarterbacks making their first start have proven in the past that a lack of experience doesn’t necessarily mean a thing for fantasy purposes. Mariota began his career with 24.9 Fanball points, Bortles had 19.9 in his debut, Wentz started with 19.2, and even Winston put up 18.2.

Fades at Quarterback

Drew Brees – $8,100 – NO vs TB

Daily fantasy is all about finding value, that’s why Drew Brees finds himself on this list as a fade. Brees could put up 275 yards and three touchdowns and still not be a value. He needs 24 Fanball points to hit three times his salary, but consider that in 16 games last season he hit that number just three times. He hasn’t exactly lit it up vs Tampa Bay either, scoring just 14.8 Fanball points per game in their last four meetings. He’s also fallen beneath the 24 point mark in seven straight matchups with the Buccaneers.

Nick Foles – $7,000 – PHI vs ATL

Sure Nick Foles had a miraculous finish last season on his way to winning a Super Bowl MVP. Sure he brought Philadelphia their first ever Super Bowl in franchise history. That doesn’t mean I want him on my Fanball roster. How soon we forget he put up 9.4 Fanball points against Atlanta in the second round of the playoffs. Foles eclipsed 300 passing yards and/or three passing touchdowns just eight times in 39 regular season starts, none of which came in his last 20 starts at quarterback.

 

Evan Bletz (@evanbletz1) is a freelance contributor for the SportsHub Games Network, Inc., Fanball’s parent company. Any advice or strategies provided by SportsHub contributors represent their personal opinions; they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of SportsHub Games Network and are not necessarily reflective of the strategies they may employ in their own lineups.