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Week 1 Wide Receiver Values and Fades

by • September 8, 2018

Values at Wide Receiver

Chris Hogan – $6,800 – NE vs HOU

Julian Edelman is now suspended and Chris Hogan should be the clear option at wide out. He’s been a reliable fantasy asset when healthy and Tom Brady’s deep threat. He caught a pass of 19 or more yards in seven straight games last season. He also had a stretch of four games with five total touchdowns. Houston had a rough finish to their 2017 season, they ended as the second-worst team in weighted defense according to Football Outsiders. They come in 25th-lowest on pass defense in DVOA to enter 2018.

John Brown – $4,400 – BAL vs BUF

Talent has never been questioned when it comes to former Arizona Cardinal John Brown. He racked up over 1,000 yards receiving in his healthiest season as a Cardinal, while also holding a yards per catch average of 14.5 a game. Flacco has a big arm and has been known for his desire to throw it downfield. It’s a gamble for sure, however I believe Brown to be the receiver with the most talent and the best opportunity to catch a 40 yard bomb.

Allen Robinson – $3,000 – CHI @ GB

Robinson makes his debut with the Bears playing his first game since week one of last season. His salary does not reflect that of a number one wide receiver, even after his long layoff from football. A simple nine point fantasy day will place Robinson right on the mark to be a valuable pass catching option for minimum salary. He gets an A+ matchup against last season’s lowest ranked defense in DVOA versus number one wide outs. The Pack also concluded 2017 as the sixth-worst pass defense in DVOA.

Fades at Wide Receiver

Stefon Diggs – $8,000 – MIN vs SF

Diggs was held under 18 Fanball points in each and every one of his last 11 regular season matchups. People seem to forget that. Diggs has the tenth-highest price tag among wide receivers putting him just behind Odell Beckham Jr. in salary. I can’t justify paying that steep of a price for a wide receiver that’s not a guaranteed to be Minnesota’s number one pass catcher. He trailed Adam Thielen last year in receptions, targets, and receiving yards. That’s not someone you pay $8,000 to roster, especially in his first ever game catching passes thrown by Kirk Cousins. Speaking of fresh faces in new places, cornerback Richard Sherman makes his 49ers debut.

Mike Evans – $7,700 – TB @ NO

Marcus Lattimore lines up across from Mike Evans and if last year is any indication then you’ll want to avoid rostering Evans this weekend. In their two games facing each other last season Mike Evans averaged a dismal three catches for 34 yards and 0.5 ejections. Lattimore rated as the fifth-best cornerback in football according to Pro Football Focus. Lattimore did that in his rookie season, so expect him to be even better this time around. FitzMagic will be making the start at quarterback for Tampa Bay after Winston was suspended to start the season.

 

 

Evan Bletz (@evanbletz1) is a freelance contributor for the SportsHub Games Network, Inc., Fanball’s parent company. Any advice or strategies provided by SportsHub contributors represent their personal opinions; they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of SportsHub Games Network and are not necessarily reflective of the strategies they may employ in their own lineups.