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Week 13 QB Sleepers and Landmines

by , and • November 28, 2018

Each week, as we prepare to make some difficult lineup decisions, our team, which includes Rob Willette, Ryan McDowell, and Sal Leto, will bring you a few sleepers and landmines for each position. Our sleeper picks could be on your waiver wire or a low-priced DFS target or could simply be going overlooked this week. On the other hand, our landmine players are getting attention, too much attention. These are players we feel are being overvalued and overpriced and would avoid for this week.

SLEEPERS

Matthew Stafford $5,700

It is strange to place Lions QB Matthew Stafford in the sleeper category but stuck in a disappointing season with only one QB1 game on the season, Stafford has been an outright bust. This week, Stafford officialy lost veteran QR Marvin Jones for the remainder of the season with a knee injury, leaving him with WR Kenny Golladay and not much else. With that said, Stafford and the Lions face the Rams this week and are a virtual lock to fall behind, big and early. This should lead to a heavy pass volume for the veteran Stafford. Also, the Rams have allowed five QB1 games this season, including three straight games. – Ryan McDowell

Dak Prescott $6,700

It’s a tough time of the year to find sleepers but with injuries and tough matchups you might need a sneaky play. Dak has been getting it done lately and it’s been with his legs. Five rushing touchdowns in his last six games have made him a QB1 in that time. Here are some of the guys he has averaged more points than over the last five weeks, Philip Rivers, Kirk Cousins, Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady. The Saints on the season have been amongst the league’s worst in defending quarterbacks and have given up the most rushing TDs to quarterbacks on the season. – Sal Leto

Case Keenum $5,300

The Broncos get a date with the Bengals in Week 13, which means one thing: start all your Broncos. The Bengals best defensive ranking against opposing skill position players is against the wide receiver, where they’re merely 11th-worst. They’re the most giving defense to fantasy quarterbacks, and while Keenum’s weekly ceiling is limited, it is tough to envision any quarterback throwing up a dud against Cincinnati. Baker Mayfield could have gone for 450 yards had the Browns not taking their foot off the gas, and the Bengals are sinking faster than the Lusitania. Matchups do not get better than this, making it the perfect time to dust off Keenum and insert him in your lineup. – Rob Willette

LANDMINES

Aaron Rodgers $7,100

It is no secret that the Packers and QB Aaron Rodgers are struggling as of late. Fortunately, things are slightly better for the Pack at home, but have still not been a slam dunk. Rodgers has just four top-ten fantasy performances this season, with only one coming since Week Six. TE Jimmy Graham and WR Randall Cobb have both dealt with injuries and the Packers are leaning on the running ability of second-year RB Aaron Jones. This means fewer pass attempts for Rodgers. Facing the Cardinals at home, this should be another game in which the Pack focuses on Jones and dials down the entire passing game. – Ryan McDowell

Tom Brady $6,800

Remember the good old days when you could plug Tommy in every week with no thought process and reap the rewards? Those days are gone. There was a glimmer mid season when he had three passing touchdowns in three out of four games, he’s followed that up with three total in his last four. He ranks 20th overall for QBs in those last four. This week he faces the surging Vikings who are looking more and more like that defense that lead them to a conference championship game a season ago. They’ve allowed just four total passing touchdowns over the last six games and over the last four no one has passed for over 200 yards on them and that list includes Drew Brees, Matt Stafford and Aaron Rodgers. – Sal Leto

Philip Rivers $6,800

Philip Rivers has been as consistent as they come in 2018. He has thrown for multiple touchdowns in every game, with his lowest yardage total being 223. There is an extremely safe floor for Rivers, one which could be elevated given Melvin Gordon’s expected absence. The matchup, however, is not ideal. While the Steelers’ overall defensive ranking against the pass looks middle of the road, they have stabilized as the year has gone on. Since Week 5, they have done a great job limiting Matt Ryan, Baker Mayfield, and Cam Newton, and have totally eliminated the Baltimore and Jacksonville passing attacks. The Chargers are a different animal in general, but it is unlikely this sets up as a ceiling game for Rivers. His supporting cast and stature as an upper-echelon quarterback keep him locked into season-long leagues, but he’s a fade at his price within the elite quarterback tier. – Rob Willette

 

Sal Leto (@LetoSal), Ryan McDowell (@RyanMc23), and Rob Willette (@RobWillette24) are freelance contributors for the SportsHub Games Network, Inc., Fanball’s parent company. Any advice or strategies provided by SportsHub contributors represent their personal opinions; they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of SportsHub Games Network and are not necessarily reflective of the strategies they may employ in their own lineups.