Charch's Week 4 Quarterback Rankings

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It's only Week 4 and I've already run out of superlatives to describe Patrick Mahomes. Fortunately, you already know about his record-setting pace anyway-its unavoidable. So, let's spend more time talking about Mahomes' opponent. The 2018 Broncos secondary isn't the unit that we've feared in the past. Adam Jones is on his last legs and Bradley Roby has regressed. The Chiefs will challenge both with Sammy Watkins and Tyreek Hill. And the same Denver defense that put Will Dissly on the map will need to contend with Travis Kelce. The Broncos are allowing almost two touchdowns per game, and I expect no less from fantasy football's best quarterback. - Paul Charchian (@PaulCharchian)
Charch's Rating: 9.75/10   |   $8300

Over the past five years, Ben Roethlisberger has posted jaw-dropping differentials in his home and road games against division rival Baltimore. His average home game is an otherworldly 375 yards and 3.7 touchdowns. That's effectively two good fantasy games in each one home game against the Ravens. On the road against Baltimore? 228 yards and 0.5 touchdowns. The Ravens will be without Jimmy Smith for one more game, and their secondary has looked inconsistent despite playing mostly meh quarterbacks. I love JuJu Smith-Schuster's matchup in the slot against inconsistent cornerback Tavon Young. - Paul Charchian (@PaulCharchian)
Charch's Rating: 9.75/10   |   $7700

3
NO @NYG

Through two weeks, the Giants secondary appeared improved from last year's awful version, but those impressive showings came with two sizable asterisks, Blake Bortles and Dak Prescott. Then last week, they saw Deshaun Watson and promptly yielded almost 400 yards. So Drew Brees shouldn't have any trouble here. He's thrown for the most passing yards, 359 per game, and he's behind only Patrick Mahomes for passing touchdowns. The Giants don't have anyone who can match up with Michael Thomas, and Brees has two emerging targets in Austin Carr and Cameron Meredith. - Paul Charchian (@PaulCharchian)
Charch's Rating: 9.75/10   |   $8200

4
CIN @ATL

The Bengals used to be a tough secondary to beat, but they appear to have taken a step back in almost every regard. The 2018 version of the Bengals secondary version has gone backwards in every key stat: yards per game, touchdowns per game, and completions per game. Every opposing quarterback has thrown multiple touchdowns. And here comes Matt Ryan, fresh off a five-touchdown performance last week, and nine total touchdowns in the past two weeks. Ryan's new-found connection with Calvin Ridley means that the Bengals will need to account for two playmakers, and they only have one good cornerback, William Jackson. - Paul Charchian (@PaulCharchian)
Charch's Rating: 9.5/10   |   $7800

5
CIN @ATL

In three games, Andy Dalton has eight touchdowns, a milestone that required seven games last year. He's also established a budding chemistry with Tyler Boyd, which provides a new, reliable outlet for his passes. In back to back weeks, Atlanta's secondary has been dismantled, first by Cam Newton and then by Drew Brees. Those two quarterbacks combined for 780 total yards and eight total touchdowns. Injuries are part of the reason. The Falcons secondary will be without both starting safeties Keanu Neal and Ricardo Allen.Speaking of injuries, be sure to check the status of AJ Green's groin injury. - Paul Charchian (@PaulCharchian)
Charch's Rating: 9.5/10   |   $6700

6

Rivers is enjoying the best pocket protection he's had in many years, getting sacked just once per game. And it's reflected in his play, with multiple touchdowns in every game and just one interception on the season. The 49ers secondary will need to overcome the loss of Richard Sherman, who will miss the game with a calf injury. The remaining cornerbacks are bigger, slower, more physical players. Cornerback Ahkello Witherspoon is downright monstrous by the standards of his position at 6'3 and 195 pounds. He'll cover the similarly-built Mike Williams. They don't have an answer for Keenan Allen, though. Running from the slot, he'll match up with K'Waun Williams in a plus matchup for Rivers. - Paul Charchian (@PaulCharchian)
Charch's Rating: 9.5/10   |   $7900

7
MIN @LAR

Jared Goff looked sensational last week and he'll face a dispirited Vikings defense that has to travel in a short week to play on Thursday. As always, the Rams attack with three very good receivers, which strains opponents' cornerbacks. The Vikings have a decent set of cornerbacks, but mismatches can be found. Brandin Cooks is better than Trae Waynes and Cooper Kupp is better than Mike Hughes. And at the linebacker level, Anthony Barr often looks out of place, suggesting that even the Rams' rarely used tight ends can get into the action. The Vikings have allowed one passing touchdown in each game, but it seems unlikely that they'll hold Goff to a single score. Minnesota will be without their best pass rusher, Everson Griffen. - Paul Charchian (@PaulCharchian)
Charch's Rating: 9.0/10   |   $7600

8

[UPDATE: THE PACKERS WILL BE WITHOUT RG JUSTIN McCRAY AND POSSIBLY WITHOUT RT BRYAN BULAGA.] The Viking woeful offensive line made the Bills defense look brilliant last week, but I'm not ready to believe they're much better than the team that got shelled by Joe Flacco and Philip Rivers in the prior two games. The Packers won't hand the game to the Bills like the Vikings did, and I'm expecting a solid performance from Aaron Rodgers. Through two and a half games with his wounded knee, Rodgers appears capable, but not explosive, throwing 277 yards per game. And his mobility isn't half bad. Until we see high end productivity from Rodgers and his new receivers, he feels like merely a safe play. - Paul Charchian (@PaulCharchian)
Charch's Rating: 8.75/10   |   $8000

9
NO @NYG

"It...is...aaallliiiivvveee! - Dr. Frederick Frankenstein There are signs of life in the Giants passing game. Over the past two weeks, Eli Manning has completed 79% of his passes and topped 280 yards in both games. His offensive line is garbage, which worries me, but the Saints have struggled to pressure quarterbacks, so maybe Eli will stay upright. The Saints have given up massive games to the two competent quarterbacks they've faced. Ryan Fitzpatrick and Matt Ryan combined for a mind-boggling 793 yards and ten touchdowns against them. And they'll be without slot corner Patrick Robinson who would have matched up with Sterling Shepard. Blücher! - Paul Charchian (@PaulCharchian)
Charch's Rating: 9.0/10   |   $6500

10
KC @DEN

This will be Case Keenum's most favorable start of the season, at least until he plays the Chiefs again. Teams are throwing more passes against the Chiefs than any other team, a crazy 47 per game. And it's working. The Chiefs rank 31st in completions allowed, 30th in touchdowns allowed, and 31st in passing yards allowed.Case regressed last week, but on the whole, has looked comfortable in this offense. He's shown particular chemistry with Emmanuel Sanders, who has a terrific matchup with struggling slot corner Kendall Fuller. - Paul Charchian (@PaulCharchian)
Charch's Rating: 8.75/10   |   $6900

11
MIA @NE

Over the past two weeks, Tom Brady has looked as dysfunctional as any two-game stretch in memory. His 367 combined yards against the Jaguars and Lions represent his lowest two-game passing total since the last two games of 2015. Josh Gordon will be rushed into action this week to replace his inconsistent receivers, particularly Phillip Dorsett. But how much can Gordon help with two weeks of practice and a balky hamstring? I'm not completely sold that it's a bounce-back game for Brady. Miami has only allowed two passing touchdowns this year, but they've also faced Blaine Gabbert, Sam Darnold, and Derek Carr. And distressingly, Darnold and Carr both topped 330 yards. Miami will be without edge rusher William Hayes, who went on IR this week. - Paul Charchian (@PaulCharchian)
Charch's Rating: 8.75/10   |   $7600

12
PHI @TEN

I thought Carson Wentz's arm looked pretty polished in his first game back from last year's ACL injury. Understandably, his legs aren't in the same place as his arm, and fantasy owners aren't going to reap the rewards of his remarkable past rushing success. The Titans secondary was really bad last year, and this year's version is only marginally improved. Patriots castoff Malcolm Butler looks like the guy who was benched in the Super Bowl. And Adoree Jackson is still young. But the Eagles receivers aren't any better. Even if Alshon Jeffery returns, it's unclear if he'll be rusty. Nelson Agholor gets lost if ventures out of the slot. - Paul Charchian (@PaulCharchian)
Charch's Rating: 8.75/10   |   $7400

13

I defy you to name a player more underappreciated than Ryan Tannehill. He's has won 10 of his last 11 games and has thrown 2, 2, and 3 touchdowns this year. Impressively, Tannehill does it despite throwing the fewest passes of any quarterback, just 25 times per game. His limited volume caps his upside, but it might not matter against a battered Patriots secondary. Last week, without safety Patrick Chung and cornerback Eric Rowe, Matthew Stafford completed 75% of his passes against the Patriots. The week before, with Chung and Rowe healthy for parts of the game, the Patriots were shredded by Blake Bortles. - Paul Charchian (@PaulCharchian)
Charch's Rating: 8.75/10   |   $6600

14
BAL @PIT

Rewind back to April's NFL draft, when the Ravens took Lamar Jackson. Back then, many NFL pundits thought we'd see Jackson already at the helm of the Ravens. Instead, Joe Flacco's resurgence has turned him into a QB1 in most scoring formats. Finally healthy, and perhaps playing with a new-found sense of motivation, Flacco is averaging rock solid passing numbers, 296 yards and two touchdowns per game. And that's very close to what Flacco has posted in his last two starts in Pittsburgh. And those numbers feel like the floor for him against a reeling secondary that's allowed the most passing touchdowns and the fourth-most passing yards. - Paul Charchian (@PaulCharchian)
Charch's Rating: 8.75/10   |   $5900

In case you missed it on Monday night, Ryan Fitzpatrick set the NFL's all-time record with back-to-back-to-back 400-yard passing games. Notably, it's not a record for the best three games to start of a season, it's a record for any three-game stretch. The streak dies in Chicago. Fitzpatrick was beaten, battered and hurried throughout Monday night's game, and it'll only get worse when he plays the defense that's registered the most sacks, 14 already. We saw some glimpses of the ͞bad Fitzpatrick͟ on Monday night, and I worry about interceptions as well. Chicago ranks No. 2 in picks. Working in Stew Beard's favor, the Bears have yielded 2, 2, and 3 passing touchdowns. And this is the best trio of receivers the Bears have faced, by a mile. Twice in the Bears three games, backup quarterbacks have had to go into the game. Is Jameis Winston lurking? - Paul Charchian (@PaulCharchian)
Charch's Rating: 8.5/10   |   $6700

16

Deshaun Watson has been under siege in all three games, and that seems unlikely to change this week. The Colts defense is one of the best unreported stories of the season. They're allowing only 15 points per game, and they've registered the third-most most sacks. That means Watson will, once again, be breaking out of the pocket constantly and throwing on the run.To his credit, Watson has played gallantly, considering the circumstances. Will Fuller is key to Watson's success. In his six career games with Fuller, Watson averages over three touchdowns per game. Fuller has a favorable matchup with Nate Hairston. - Paul Charchian (@PaulCharchian)
Charch's Rating: 8.5/10   |   $7300

17

Sometimes playing at a heroic level, Russell Wilson has thrown multiple touchdowns in every game. But the weird thing is his rushing has evaporated. He's averaging 7 rushing yards per game. Bernie Kosar is pointing and laughing. And I don't see that changing against a Cardinals defense that has allowed 8, 2 and 14 rushing yards to opposing quarterbacks this year.Wilson hasn't topped 36 rushing yards against the Cardinals in five straight games, and he's scored just one rushing touchdowns in 12 career meetings. So, we'll focus on his arm, and I don't love what I see. Patrick Peterson should be able to contain Tyler Lockett. That leaves Brandon Marshall and Jaron Brown as Wilson's best receivers, and that's a worry. Peterson shut down Allen Robinson last week and the Bears couldn't get anything done through the air. Wilson is a far better quarterback than Mitch Trubisky, but I'm sure you see the issue here. - Paul Charchian (@PaulCharchian)
Charch's Rating: 8.25/10   |   $7100

18

Break out your protractor! On the X-axis, plot Matthew Stafford's absurd 45 attempts per game. On the Y-axis, plot all five of his excellent pass-catching options. At the X-Y intersection is the safety that Matthew Stafford brings to fantasy owners. In the last two seasons, he's been shut out just one time. He's thrown multiple touchdowns 12 times. The Cowboys are a stern test though. They've shut down three solid passers, Cam Newton, Eli Manning, and Russell Wilson, who have averaged 210 yards and one score. Dallas has registered 11 sacks already, second most. It's a tough test, but Stafford almost never completely lets you down. - Paul Charchian (@PaulCharchian)
Charch's Rating: 8.0/10   |   $7400

19
MIN @LAR

The Vikings offensive line is a train wreck, and here comes Aaron Donald and Ndamukong Suh. Through three games, Cousins has been consistently harassed by the middling linemen of Buffalo, Green Bay and San Francisco. And the coaching staff only has three days to figure out a new protection plan before jetting off to Los Angeles. I don't like their chances. The Rams have shut out two of their three opposing quarterbacks.The glimmer of hope is that Marcus Peters and Aqib Talib were injured in last Sunday's win, and neither is expected to play. - Paul Charchian (@PaulCharchian)
Charch's Rating: 8.0/10   |   $7000

This matchup is the most promising of Mitch Trubisky's career. He's unshackled from John Fox. He's had three games to learn Matt Nagy's new system. And here comes a deeply injured Buccaneers secondary traveling to Chicago in a short week. If Trubisky can't do it here, drop him. To this point in his 15-game career, he's been fantasy suicide for his owners, throwing multiple touchdowns just once and failing to top even 220 passing yards in 12 games. Tampa's veteran cornerback Brent Grimes returned from injury last week, but they're stuck playing two rookie cornerbacks beside him, MJ Stewart and Carlton Davis. Tampa ranks 31st in passing yards allowed and dead last in completions allowed. - Paul Charchian (@PaulCharchian)
Charch's Rating: 8.0/10   |   $5600

21
22
HOU @IND

I wrote about this extensively last week, and it bears reiterating: Andrew Luck can't throw downfield. Luck's lack of arm strength was laid bare last Sunday when the team brought Jacoby Brissett off the bench to attempt a Hail Mary. He's throwing the shortest passes of any quarterback, averaging barely five yards per pass. Plain and simple, that limits Luck's upside considerably, regardless of opponent. I don't love the Houston secondary, and TY Hilton could have a really good game against Johnson Bademosi. But with a passing radius of about 15 yards, I also don't believe Luck can exploit them much beyond the pedestrian numbers he's been posting. - Paul Charchian (@PaulCharchian)
Charch's Rating: 7.75/10   |   $6800

23
DET @DAL
24
CLE @OAK
25
NYJ @JAC
26
BUF @GB
27
SEA @ARI
28
NYJ @JAC
29
31
33
34
SEA @ARI
35
CLE @OAK
36
PHI @TEN